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Old 06-07-2006, 04:32 AM   #583
the guy who be short
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Thulcandra
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If we lynch Lommy and she's the Seer, we know our two wolves and lynch them the days after.

If we lynch Lommy and she's a wolf, Nogrod can dream of somebody - Lhuna perhaps - in the night and be protected by the Ranger. This gets us one more dream.

If we lynch Nogrod and he's a wolf, we can trust Lommy. We have two wolves. We win.

If we lynch Nogrod and he's the Seer, we vote Lommy tomorrow. We have one wolf.


Therefore, logically, it is in our interests to lynch Lommy for better outcomes. Lynching Lommy will gain us either the names of our two wolves, or else one wolf and a dream. Lynching Nogrod will only get us either our two wolves, or just one wolf without a dream.

Just to throw some maths in.
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