[Boromir88]

" 'Ere's how I see things right now, and as far as who I won't be voting for today, unless if some unforseen reason appears, Macalaure, Nogrod, Thinlomien, Valier, and Naria.

'Mac and Nogrod because of their votes for a known wolf. Now we can throw around insane ideas about wolf-on-wolf votes, but bottom line is Day 1 there's no reason for wolves to do this. Losing a wolf on Day 1 is not something they want to do as it starts them off on the wrong foot and gets them behind. If anything, that's something I would suspect wolves would want not to happen, there simply is no logical reasoning to send out a suicide wolf on Day 1. If a buddies death become apparent, then it's more likely, but it being Day 1, with very spread out and tight voting, there simply is no reason to lynch a fellow wolf. If any vote would have been a wolf-on-wolf vote, it would likely have been the first one, as perhaps they would think that it wouldn't amount to their buddies lynching, but I severely doubt this is the case. Mac announced his suspicions on the very odd acting Menel, knew that there were at least two others that noticed this very thing, so I doubt that if he was a wolf he would have voted for a fellow wolf. Same for Nogrod, at this time there were still several people left to vote, voting was spread out and tight, no reason to lynch a fellow wolf and start off on the bad foot.

'Thinlomien and Naria because of Menel trying to point suspicion towards them. This was the very behaviour that I and others noted as strange in Menel, as it looked like he was trying to incriminate people without really incriminating them (or getting his stinky paws filthy) With these two, their innocence isn't as strong of a feeling as Mac and Nogrod's, but at least for today there's no reason as far as why I should consider them as wolves. And I also agree with the observation made by our stablehand:

"No, they're just not on the top of my suspicion list, or close to it. I concentrate on other people unless the menel-lynchers do something alarming."

'I'm never fond of conjuring up crazy what-if theories, I think that gets us too off our focus as far as what blatantly is wolfish and what 'crazy possibilities' wolves may try. Though those whacky possibilities are fun, it tends to lead us off focus from those who are blatantly making wolf slip-ups, and so if there's no reason to see why someone looks suspicious, there's no reason for me to consider voting for them, or conjuring up these whacky 'what if one of them was a wolf-on-wolf vote.'

'Valier because of Menel's vote for her. It's possible that Menel saw his death coming so cast a vote for a fellow wolf to throw everyone's suspicion off Valier. But is it also not as equally possible that Menel was doing that to get us all thinking that he was voting for a fellow wolf, but really we'd be lynching an innocent instead? Anyway, what I'm saying is again, I'm not fond of these reverse psychology wolf tricks, and will not base my suspicions purely off some cooky scenario I've concocted.'

'So that means my vote will most likely be going to one of these people today...Valesse, Diamond, Volo, Gil-Galad, Sleepy Ranger, or Kath. I'll be back with what I've thought about these fellow villagers or possible wolves in disguise later. For now, I must be going. But before I go, a special congrats to our Seer for surviving the Night...yes I just had to be the demented guy that brings up the Seer and sparks a big debate...I'm sorry it just wouldn't be truly Werewolf without it. But for now, there's a body to be found."

Edit: Cross-posted with Nogrod and Mac.