First and foremost I'd like to comment on Nogrod being the Ranger since it seems to be a hot subject right now. I have no accusation for or against it, but I don't think the Things would go after Nogrod and change him into one on the second night. Given Nogrod's track record of survival past the first few days one I'd think it'd be in the Things worst interest to attack Nogrod so early on. If Nogrod wasn't already a Thing, I don't think they would choose him Night Two.
I'd look to the quieter villagers, honestly. Someone who gained almost no suspicions from others, someone who has been flying well under the radar. Maybe even someone who put out a single safe vote. They'd be an asset to the Things because they have flown under everyone's radar and can probably do so for another day or two.
I'm not sure I follow Volo's reasoning of suspecting Nogrod.
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by his yesterdays performance, he began his normal agressive approach only when I noted his strange behavior.
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That's pretty understandable, however...
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Also he tried to stay out of bandwagons even knowing that Jenny won't be lynched, as if he wasn't really trying.
I have also thought about a possibility that Nogrod, wasn't a thing last day, but today he most certainly is. The things would want him first, plus his talk about the ranger might mean that he was the ranger. So he's a thing today, whatever he was yesterday.
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I'd say if Nogrod was the Ranger he'd have no confusion about the rules. If anyone is the Ranger in that scenario it would be Jenny. Back to the real point, I'm not getting Volo's logic. Nogrod hadn't even spoken yet, but Volo is so sure he was the Ranger and is now the Thing. What evidence do you have for that? If Nogrod's playing styles changes today then we may have something, but to make that kind of statement before you've even had a chance to see if Nogrod has changed is rather careless.
Obviusly we won't hear from Nogrod today, but I'm hesitant to find him overly guilty. His actions yesterday point to some sort of a guilt, but if he was innocent yesterday I'm betting he is probably innocent today.
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Only person not mentioned by Folwren is Menel. Don't know if that's significant or not. Likely not.
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It could possibly have some meaning, given Menel's vote and vote placement of yesterday.
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I still think Nogrod couldn't have been the ranger. In that case, he wouldn't have started the debate in the first place.
If Nogrod's a thing and I'm right with my "lure"-theory, then Jenny was the ranger. This would mean she is a thing, now.
Side debaters yesterday were Folwren, Rune and me, Foley telling Nogrod he's ingenious, Rune telling him he doesn't buy his 'knows-the-rules'-argument on Jenny (makes me feel good about Rune, at the moment) and me telling him the same as Jenny did afterwards (why didn't he pick on me at all, I wonder).
So, if Nogrod's bad and if I'm right about his plan then maybe Jenny's bad right now, too. That's too many ifs for the moment, but I'm wary.
Probably the things were just lucky...
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I don't think Nogrod and Jenny are Things. In the scenario of the Ranger I agree that Nogrod was probably not the Ranger and that all signs point to Jenny as the Ranger and now possible Thing. But that debate is not enough in my mind to go on. The other Ranger debate of yesterday had me raising my eyebrow, but I think too much is being put into the dispute over the rules and role of the Ranger.