Somehow that quote about known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns comes to mind. (I think someone mentioned it a few pages ago - please do pardon me for not going all the way back to give credit to the right person.)
known knowns: Each player knows (at least we think we do!
) her/his own identity - innocent or werewolf. That's whatever percentage one out of eleven survivors is. If we are being given certain information about the identities of deceased players, that increases what we know.
known unknowns: Each of us knows that we do not know what the other players are. That's a higher percentage than the first point.
unknown unknowns: We can only guess that Fea is messing with our minds/being devious/who on earth knows what?!
Now only the unfortunately deceased Boromir could make a spurious statistic out of my attempt to summarize the situation so far. I've no idea if this is helpful, but I do want to give the Fellowship of the Fool Villagers whatever wisdom I can - Eru knows we need it!