Analysis of SPM on Day 1
The first thing that jumped out at me was his stance on phantom, which changed quite suddenly. Between the attack on phantom's defense, and SPM's change in vote, Phantom is silent. There was nothing to cause SPM to drop his vote, especially in the rather nonchalant manner in which he does it. It makes it seem like the whole thing was smoke and mirrors, with no substance at all.
Also, his
post #131 bears heavy scrutiny. His reasons for voting LMP are heavily flawed at best and completely bogus at worst. He said himself that heavy statements of innocence would attract his attention, and Diamond did this more often than phantom did, to be sure. Yet when LMP used that reasoning to vote for Diamond, SPM found it a suitable reason to vote for his lynching. He also didn't like that LMP had voted based on a grudge, which numerous others had done during the day. It comes across, to me at least, as a heavy charade.
He also bears the same muted pessimism as Esty. He keeps hinting that we're hopeless, and that there's no room for logic here, with out ever actually stating it. He also keeps pushing his "the wolves are at each other's throats" idea through all of it. Why? What purpose did it serve?
Personally, I think Nogrod was on the right track.