View Single Post
Old 11-19-2006, 05:16 AM   #14
Nogrod
Flame of the Ainulindalë
 
Nogrod's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Wearing rat's coat, crowskin, crossed staves in a field behaving as the wind behaves
Posts: 9,308
Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.
Send a message via MSN to Nogrod
Quote:
Originally Posted by tp
Roa died? Hmmm.....

This selection was not what I expected.
I might think almost the contrary. I guess there is a bunch of reasons why the WW would like to get rid of Roa.

At least any sane WW would be somewhat afraid of Roa's analysis falling on her/him. So getting rid of Roa now would be understandable as it started to look like a few of the louder / more involved villagers were beginning to trust her (trust and trust... well not suspect her too much).

Quote:
Originally Posted by tp
the survivor of the two will start tomorrow under the gun.
So no one under the gun to begin with toDay and thence a good kill? Maybe. But actually I tend to think it the other way around. To my experience it seems to happen quite frequently that those running close lynching the previous Day do turn out relatively safe the next. Why is that I'm not so sure about, psychology-stuff...? In this game tp f.ex. was almost lynched on Day1 here and after that has gathered no votes at all.

Her death also creates a lot of confusion if we wish to look at all this being straightforward, bluffing, double-bluffing stuff. tp mentioned a few possibilities. But we should also note how her death makes all those who were happily lynching her or decided not to involve themselves a bit suspicious. Looking at how different people reacted to that last minute frenzy might also be revealing but can surely also mislead.

With a quick skim through last action yesterDay I would say that Spm looked quite earnest indeed, trying to go for the best of the village, tp was a bit detached although he actively tried to get Roa killed and Di was somewhat standing aside just looking over things. I mean this is something even experienced WWs forget many times: in the heat of last minute voting the innocents fear the result and try their best to the last but as the wolf has no panic her/himself, the wolf tends to be more relaxed and easy. And when it's a question of just last minutes people have not so much time to scheme everything and are more likely to actually reveal their real stances...
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red
Beneath the roof there is a bed;
But not yet weary are our feet...
Nogrod is offline   Reply With Quote