Farael, no matter the merits of your plan, and there are some, I grant you, you are putting too much emphasis on it and this detracts from actual discussion of suspicious behaviour. Also, your plan depends on wolves actually slipping up and us being able to spot their mistakes. Especially the latter is far from certain. But I am going to let the topic rest now.
Lalwendë's latest post got all my sensors ringing and if she were not a rookie, I would be highly suspicious of her by now. The talking around and refusing to mention suspects is really a bit dodgy. I would really like to see more from her.
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Mac, I didn't vote for Morm because at the moment, I was more suspicious of Farael and Farael still seems more dangerous to me. Do you mind? I am inclined to believe Morm is a cobbler rather than a wolf, if he is anything, and I am also inclined to believe that Farael is a wolf rather than a cobbler, if he is anything.
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Can you explain why, for my feelings are quite the reverse. Farael may be a cobbler - if anything. His plan is now the focus of discussion instead of the wolves and this is more cobbler-ish behaviour than anything. I am more inclined still to consider him innocent, but yes. Mormegil is more possibly a wolf than a cobbler, I should think. His determined vote and clear message would lull our suspicions of him. I think a Cobbler who knows the identity of only one wolf would not have so certain a suspect, if this makes any sense at all. However, neither are very likely to receive my vote today.
So then, who will? I have to leave soon and will not return before the deadline, I'm afraid. Aside from Lalwendë, and only taking into account those who have posted so far today, I am uncertain about Valier, about Rikae, about Celuien and about Folwren.
Valier because of her early defense against Mormegil's reported suspicion, that was really no more than suspicion. She does not offer any real insights and just picks up on Farael's plan as an attack on her. I realise Valier usually acts like this, but I would have thought to see some names from her by now.
Rikae seems to make sense in general and her link to Kitanna, as was pointed out various times, makes her appear quite innocent. However, it does not sit right with me that she continues to point out Kitanna's death might be a clumsy attempt to frame her and others. She may be right, though, and she uses this to build a case against Valier. Out of my uncertains, she is the least likely to get my vote.
Celuien I find a lot more accessible today, if that makes any sense at all. I agree with most of her statements. The reason that she is on this list is mainly because of Mormegil's premature vote for her. Since I am inclined to believe in Morm's innocence (for now), I wonder what convinced him - though I seem to recall Mormegil's ancestors always to be easily convinced of someone's guilt. Also, Celuien seems to be playing a clever game. But that is like her, as I said before.
Folwren is here because she made the - in my eyes - most suspicious vote yesterday. She added a sixth name to the list, refusing to make a clear decision. Farael had also made himself a little suspicious, anyway, with his insistence on lynching the quiet folk and the vote seems therefore rather easy. I agree with most of her sentiments today, however.
It is never easy to cast a vote so early on in the day and I still feel I have little to go on.
++ Valier
In voting for her I seem to go along with Farael's plan, but aside from her being a reputed quiet one, she is really the most suspicious to me at the moment.
Lalwendë (whom I really do believe is a lot sharper than she lets on) and Folwren are my secondary suspects, Rikae and Celuien are a little behind those. Nogrod and Holbytlass have not yet posted today, but based on last dance's events I have no reason to suspect them of wolvishness.