No time for big analysis, but these are my feelings:
The wolf goes for the quiet/misguided/trailless ones. S/he is obviously not scared of crafty players like Nogrod. This means that, a) Nogrod is the wolf, b) Nogrod is a cobbler and the wolf knows, c) our wolf has a lot of guts and trusts his/her cobblers to lead people astray.
I don't think I will be voting
Nogrod toDance, because he's too great a loss when innocent. If I survive this day and night, I will be looking very closely at him, but not now. I remain
highly suspicious.
Holbytlass has been looking fishy to me all the game. Her recent theory about me is the most far-fetched thing I have seen in a long time (no offense
). I think she is a cobbler, if not something worse.
I have very little doubt that
Farael is a cobbler, most probably Celuien's one.
Lalwende is new to the game, but she already beats mormegil in secretiveness. If I had time I would to an analysis of her, but alas!
Cailín looks somewhat innocent, but I'm not sure.