What were those four thinking... we went from "moderately successful" to "in dire need for help". We've got two chances to nail that sneaky wolf, and it would be rather favourable if we got at least a cobbler today. The 'lucky' thing is that the wolf might help us out and get a cobbler tonight (toRest) as s/he does not know who they are. He might guess, but we can hope that he'll get it wrong.
If
Macalure is the remaining wolf, that's good news, since he thinks me a cobbler... thus even if he gets one cobbler right, he must think the other is an ordo. It would also explain why I've survived thus far, even though I haven't been exactly vocal the last two days.
ToDance RL might cut me some slack... but then, it might not. My friend who lives in Montreal is visiting here and so if he calls me up...
But I'm here now, and I have a few thoughts to share with you all.
Lawlende has been hiding behind two masks. Yes, she's been
very silent, which upsets me since now it's too late to lynch someone on those basis alone. But then, there is something else. Everyone is "cutting her some slack" since she's rather new to this game but... am I mistaken or is this her second or third game? I've seen some players excell from game 1.... I've seen some that took a little more time to get used to the tricks of this game.... but I've never seen someone take two games to say
anything of value. And we know she's intelligent, so it's not like this whole thing has gone way over her head.
I think that
Lawlende has something to hide, but I'm thinking she's a cobbler. A wolf can't risk being
THAT silent.. she must've known that sooner or later we'd suspect her, and this plays right in the hand of the wolf. While getting a cobbler is
much better than getting an ordo, at this point in the game we should be trying to get the wolf or nothing. We won't have many second-chances.
But then, who
IS the wolf? I'm inclined to think
Nogrod Innocent, or cobbler at the worst, so IMO he's not the wolf.
Macalure is definitely an option, although he might be the other cobbler if my theory about
Lalwende is off.
I just found out that
Cailin is playing... I honestly can't recall reading more than two posts by her. Yet I'm not as suspicious of her, perhaps because I have not enough material to form a suspicion, but nonetheless I think her a silent ordo.
I just noticed something
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Macalure
My goodness...
My... goodness...
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Note how he italices the "good" in the second "goodness". IF that's not a cobbler hint, I've never seen one. To me, that's saying that he thinks it "good" what happened last night.
Now folks, if you agree with me I will say
do not lynch him If we know him to be a cobbler, the best thing we can do right now is ignore him.
Remember, we have two lynchings left and three baddies. IF we waste a kill on a cobbler, that means that we have only one kill left to actually find the wolf. So for now, I suggest we all ignore
Macalure and concentrate on finding the wolf.
My suspects at this point on the day:
Lalwende: Possibly a cobbler, but maybe a wolf
Macalure: Cobbler, almost certainly
Cailin: Too silent to know either way.
Those I won't try to lynch right now
Nogrod I think him innocent, and definitely not a wolf. If he's a cobbler, hats off to him, but if I know
Nogrod at all, he's just an ordo.
Holbytlass speaks little but what she does say makes sense to me. At this point in the game you just can't suspect everyone who doesn't talk enough, so I'm choosing her as an "ordo". At least for now.