Quote:
Would she be totally random in which GloKit would have a 1/17 chance of being a wolf just like the rest of us or would she tweak the roles for evil amusemsent? We can't know now.~Bomburlass
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Well if all villages are completely random, then the outcome of the prior villages have no bearing on the outcome of the current one. Just ask Rosencrantz and Guildenstern and their flipping of the coin. If a coin lands heads 7 times in a row what are the chances that the 8th flip would be a heads? Still 50/50, as the coin doesn't think jee I landed heads 7 times in a row, better do tails now.
Seems to be rather a safe vote for
Lord Anguirelshield to make...I'll make a mental note of that as well.
Well see
Beornomien, my logic always goes as follow if I think it:
Looks like a wolf
acts like a wolf
smells like a wolf
chances are it's a wolf.
We're always too busy now thinking about double-bluffs and a wolf wouldn't be so obvious, some of the greatest wolves are the most obvious ones! I'm reminded of Alcarillo's amazing performance in a game. Where throughout the entire game everyone was saying Alcarillo was a wolf, but he just looks too obvious and because we kept convincing ourselves he looked to obvious to be a wolf, he won it for the wolves.
On Day 1, I go by who looks like a wolf...don't give me all this other stuff about double-bluffing and 'too obvious to be a wolf.' Meaning, I don't by
Anguirelshield's argument and if
Gloanna looks obviously like a wolf, on Day 1 I'm going to go with that...
++Kitanna
Edit: x-posted with post 78 and 79