[Anguirel]

My friend is dragging me off to a talk on the underworld in Malta, or something of the kind, so I will vote early, probably sevenish.

I intend to examine the motives behind every vote cast yesterday.

1. morm for Rune
I did find this odd behaviour, even by morm's standards. He claimed it was business as usual, which it isn't, really. But I'm not seriously nettled by this impetuosity. Days have to start somewhere.

2. Gil for Boro
Based on Boro's suspicion, apparently in earnest, for Celuien. A wilful vote at an early stage, but not out of the ordinary for Gil.

3. Roa for Gil
A simple riposte.

4. Lommy for Durelin
Because of the latter's "nonsense". They've formed something of an alliance since.

5. Firefoot for Boro
Made Boro's lynching a real possibility. Her other candidate was Gil - who had voted for Boro! Seems lackadaisical, or maybe sinister. Divide and rule?

6. Rikae for Anguirel
Rather an inconspicuous vote, I suppose. Nothing much else against it, though she was quick to judge...

7. Kath for Boro
I say this with regret, as she's just posted very sensibly, I think, but this was a dangerous-looking vote, tearing Boro far into the lead. I would be very surprised if Kath and Firefoot were both wolves, but one might very well be.

8. Celuien for Naria
Pretty inconsequential now

9. Farael for Lommy
I forget who remarked that Farael was a parody of himself, but it was an astute comment. Kind of the opposite of morm, who claims to be deliberately pursuing an unusual strategy. His extension of his theory to Volo was bizarre and rather fickle. I think we may have the Cobbler-Thingy here.

10. Volo for Durelin
Based, I think, on quietness.

11. Rune for Mac
Revenge vote which made Mac drop his case. I don't think a wolf-Rune would have wanted to kill Mac soon after winning him over, but that may be a dangerous assumption.

12. Anguirel for Volo
An ill-thought out act. When faced with action or patience, I am inclined to choose the former (see later...). I think I allowed myself to be caught in a duel here.

13. Farael for Volo
As I said before, pretty strange, almost hyperactive.

14. Lalwende for Gil
Interesting that this was to spark a second bandwagon. I think Lal probably thought of it as something of a throwaway vote, as the Volo/Boro war was starting to be on the cards. I am vaguely suspicious of Lal.

15. Mac for Celuien
I'm going to start passing over the votes of the dead, actually.

16. Eomer for Volo
Helps Boro (who no one yet knew was a Hunter). Has similar forebodings to me about doing so, which was why I was interested in his thought-processes. With hindsight, this vote seals the two-horse race, and so is a bit worrying.

17. morm for Volo
Looks like genuine suspicion here to me, actually.

Some dead votes and then Boro revealed himself. The trend veered relentlessly towards Volo thereafter:

21. Boro for Volo
Self-preservation.

22. Mith for Volo
After sort of asking for my go-ahead. I consented, since I was in crackpot theory mode. I don't suspect Mith yet.

23. Durelin for Gil
Sort of a "rugged individualist declares the herd wrong" vote. She picked a quite credible bandwagon, though. She wanted Gil, not Volo dead with apparent genuineness. I just can't see how Gil looked more wolfish than Volo. Much of a muchness.

24. Firefoot for Volo
The big flip-flop! This is suspicious, especially if she suspected Gil would overtake on the inside. But might an innocent Firefoot have done this too - to save a Hunter? Changing her vote was laudable. And she could have placed it more suspiciously. I find this vote less bad than her first foray.

25. Anguirel for Gil
I made a fool of myself, not for the first or last time. I was expecting Mith to join me. I decided to do this by tossing a coin. I was so uncertain increasingly about Volo's guilt. But to be honest I didn't think much of the rival case for Gil either.

26. Rikae for Volo
Honour affronted, fair enough. How many wolves would slip onto the winning bandwagon? The answer, as ever, bold ones. Zzzz. A bit suspect.

I suspect on these bases Durelin, Firefoot, Kath and Eomer to an extent. Urgh.