The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - WW XXIX Dor-en-Gaur

Lalwendë · 02-02-2007, 04:46 PM

Lommy, there's a 30% chance of getting a Wolf this time out. But then if there are two Rangers left, a Hunter and one 'Golden Blade' then there's also a 40% chance of getting one of them. I don't know...I suppose it boils down to whether we want to try and identify who the people who need protecting might be and work from that basis or if we want to just 'wolf-spot' or if we just go for it? Whatever we do, the odds are 7:3 in our favour if we discount special roles, but much worse if we also want to avoid killing someone we are really going to need on the next night! There are only 3 Ordos now.

Maybe we have to start looking at those who have never been nominated before?

02-02-2007, 04:46 PM	#11
Lalwendë A Mere Boggart Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: under the bed Posts: 4,737	Lommy, there's a 30% chance of getting a Wolf this time out. But then if there are two Rangers left, a Hunter and one 'Golden Blade' then there's also a 40% chance of getting one of them. I don't know...I suppose it boils down to whether we want to try and identify who the people who need protecting might be and work from that basis or if we want to just 'wolf-spot' or if we just go for it? Whatever we do, the odds are 7:3 in our favour if we discount special roles, but much worse if we also want to avoid killing someone we are really going to need on the next night! There are only 3 Ordos now. Maybe we have to start looking at those who have never been nominated before? __________________ Gordon's alive!