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Old 02-28-2007, 12:28 PM   #224
Rikae
Mellifluous Maia
 
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
Rikae is wading through snowdrifts on Redhorn.Rikae is wading through snowdrifts on Redhorn.Rikae is wading through snowdrifts on Redhorn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod
Now you're talkin' my fisherman! Even though I would hate to lose an innocent Roa - I really would - there is sense in this. I mean I first hesitated and was kind of agreeing with Rikae's suggestion that we do not waste our lynch on her toDay. But there is one problem there and it is as follows.

If we let Roa live and Rikae makes it through the Night, we can't say it is because she (Rikae) is a Faithful and has fooled us or because the wolves are bluffing us. And that in turn would mean both that we kill an innocent toDay with some pretty considerable probabilities and that we will be faced with real tough dilemmas toMorrow as to what to do, thus increasing the risk that our gifteds feel the need to reveal themselves...
If you kill Roa today, you're throwing away every advantage I've managed to give you. If the faithfuls did decide to bluff by leaving me alive until tomorrow, you could lynch me then and prove my identity, and you would have another dream. Of course, the faithfuls know that and won't leave me alive - which means tomorrow you will have two known "non-faithfuls" - Nogrod and Roa.
Roa counts as an innocent, and since she's been revealed, she can do no harm. My dreams will be verified soon enough.
Kill Roa and you lose one "known nonfaithful" and reduce your numbers by one. Kill someone else and you stand a chance of getting a faithful - or at least, you still have two you can remove from the list of possible faithfuls tomorrow, when I'm dead.
Feel free to disregard my advice, but I'm telling you, you're throwing away your advantage.
I'll read over the thread one more time and post my thoughts on everyone in a few minutes...
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