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Old 04-10-2007, 01:02 PM   #256
Rikae
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
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Rikae is wading through snowdrifts on Redhorn.Rikae is wading through snowdrifts on Redhorn.Rikae is wading through snowdrifts on Redhorn.
It seems to me our best bet is still analyzing Glirdan's interactions with the other players. Of the dead, he's the only one that actually knew anything, and the other wolves knew him, unlike TGWBS.

So, a bit of Day 1 analysis:




In his first post, he mentioned Brinniel and “those wizard type people” - Sixth and Mac, while in his second he mentions Brinniel again, Mith and Gil before using my post as a reason to suspect Roa, who turns around and immediately suspects him. While I wouldn't put sacrificing a fellow wolf beyond Roa (she's said she would do it in this game alone), I somehow doubt wolf-Gil would leap on the first hint of a suspicion like that if it was for a fellow wolf. He could just as easily have ignored it.

Sixth's comment “unlike Glirdan, who could well be a bad guy.” looked very suspicious at the time, probably too suspicious after the fact to actually be wolfish.

Lommy drew more attention to Glirdan when only Roa had already suspected him, even to the point of calling his post an “example from the classic spot-a-wolf book”.

Mac expressed a milder sort of suspicion toward Glirdan, saying he “raises one of my eyebrows” and “looks a bit bad”. This doesn't reflect favorably on Mac, as far as I'm concerned; he could hardly ignore a fellow wolf looking so suspicious, but he downplays the level of it while cautiously tossing a bit of suspicion in another direction with “Beware of those who try to discreetly encourage such discussions without taking active parts in them!”

Lommy votes for Glirdan with the disclaimer “it's never wise to judge on the basis of a few posts”.

Sixth votes for Glirdan “Death to you!”

Glirdan defends himself suspecting Lommy and Sixth, but chooses to vote for Sixth.


The Cobbler who be short weighs in , suspecting Lommy and Sixth, and defending Glirdan.

Legate, in his first post late in the day, includes gratuitous in-character stuff, suspects Sixth...for his comment on Glirdan, no less – and mentions Glir-wolf in one breath with Roa (who I'm inclined to think is innocent at this point) and yours truly (innocent) with the suggestion there's wolves involved in this “three way debate”, or specifically; “one wolfy sluggard could no problem hide in there”. A very suspicious comment, in my opinion, especially since Legate doesn't address the Glirdan issue directly.

Gil suspects Thin and Lommy. No mention of Glirdan.

Nogrod's comment on Glirdan is “Glirdy, then? He looks so bad again... but I would actually hesitate with lynching him once again on Day 1 because he looks suspicious.” Wolf handbook material right there; I may have been wrong to trust Nogrod.

Roa, in spite of her initial suspicion of Glirdan, votes for TGWBS. Slightly suspicious, though she gives several reasons.

Nogrod posts some he-looks-odd near suspicions of TGWBS, Legate, Sixth, and an even weaker parenthetical half-accusation of Glirdan.

Legate says he thinks TGWBS and Roa both innocent. (Not Glirdan related, but I always find these “two innocents” statements somewhat wolfish.)

Mith defends Roa, Glirdan seems “off, but sometimes people genuinely get the wrong head of the stick”, suggests lynching Xyzzy.

Legate gives a random seeming list of me, Lommy, and the wizards, Sixth and Mac...then some mild suspicion of Nogrod and Brinniel. No mention of Glirdan.

Nogrod states he feels “pretty uncomfortable with lynching Glirdy

Mac suspects TGWBS, the “only other person to wave a flag is Glirdan, but I'd rather hear of him tomorrow.”

Nogrod groups Gil with Glirdan, says it's “like flipping a coin”. This is at the top of his list, then he says “I'm quite sure that at least one wolf dwells at the top of my list, most probably two.” A very bold statement indeed, if he's a wolf, and then he considers voting for one.

Legate again posts a long post with no mention of Glirdan...considering voting for Xyzzy, agreeing with Gil, suspecting Lommy and Nogrod.

Mac suspects Glirdan, but votes TGWBS.







My conclusions: Legate looks the worst to me, and I will probably vote for him; Nogrod is somewhat suspicious, as well.
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