Well...my strategy for the first few days is pretty much covered in
Roa's post. I thought
Nogrod was innocent & his vote placement on day 1 would make him universally trusted, and therefore he'd be a likely wolf kill, so I protected him on night 1. I was quite surprised when
Roa pm'd the next day to say she hunted him.
Night 2, I protected
Sixth, as
Roa suggested.
Day 3, like I said in the game, I thought
Mac was lying because he gave no indication whatsoever of knowing
Roa's role (I thought he would have dropped some kind of hint if he did), but after
Gil turned out to be innocent, I decided to be on the safe side and protect
Mac on night 3.
On day 3, seeing
Lommy was a wolf, I trusted
Mac & thought I didn't have anything to lose (except my life

)by bluffing to protect him for one more night. At first I actually thought I would be killed if the wolf thought
Mac was protected, but
Nogrod's suspicions made me realize that wasn't necessarily the case. I mentioned the possibility
Nogrod would be the kill primarily to reinforce the idea that
Mac was protected; the fact that
Xyzzy actually attacked
Nogrod was just the "icing on the cake", so to speak. Obviously, I couldn't protect
Mac or myself, so I protected
Nogrod on night 4, betting
Sixth or
Xyzzy would 'follow my advice'.
Nogrod actually had me a little worried on the last day, with his suspicion that
Mac and I were lovers - which, in retrospect, was pretty cool because it kept the game exciting right to the end.
I think this may be the first time I've survived to the end of a game...maybe the second.