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Originally Posted by Eomer of the Rohirrim
Nay, Nogrod, nay. With the lynch seer and numbers of votes, the village already had a very big advantage (although perhaps that would have changed had people known about the cobbler?) The Shade made it impossible.
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With only one game of this nature behind us I think it's pretty hard to say anything definitive. I mean there are very basic games where the village wins in three days (I've been in one!) and those where the wolves finally carry the last villager to the death.
I mean there are too many particular variables that have only been tried once.
F.ex. if I was the shade, I probably wouldn't have dreamt of any of you three and at least you
Eomer would still roam free, probably
Gil would be alive as well and Day5 going with two vamps...
Or had
Legate had more time to upgrade his playing from Day1 and he might pretty well have escaped the attention he caught...
Etc...
But I agree with you that the villagers did have the numbers on their side - even with the cobbler included. And also in the long run the voting tallies might have revealed the cheaters - were there any such persons left alive who would care to go through all of them to make the calculations...
And I think you're also right with what you say about the cobbler-role. Had we known there is a cobbler among us I think some lynchings might have gone the other way they did...