[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

We have thought long and hard about this. Actually knowing what happened yesterday and last night, and the whole leprechaun business, would be mighty useful; but we have reached these conclusions regardless.

Kath is likely innocent. We'd be very surprised if she wasn't, simply because of her vote for Nogrod. This is even more so if there were only ever 2 wolves, which is a real possibility.

Izzy is also likely innocent. We'd be less surprised if she was wolvish than if Kath was, but nevertheless we find Nogrod's behaviour towards her speaks in her favour.

Which leaves us with the other two, who have been conveniently attacking each other. We see a few scenarios which are possible, so let us guide you through them:

Perhaps: both Rikae and Brinniel are wolves. Rikae is attacking Brinniel with verve, in the hope of establishing her own innocence by slaying her ally. She is throwing in hints that she is a Seer.

Perhaps: Rikae is a remaining wolf, and Brinniel is innocent, then it seems quite certain that either Kath or Izzy has been hiding a furry secret. This would not be a good scenario, because Brinniel is favourite to die today, and the death of an innocent Brinniel would end this village. We find this scenario unlikely, though.

Perhaps: Rikae is indeed a seer, or just a completely accurate villager, and Brinniel is a wolf. Lynching her today is our best option.

When we kill Brinniel, and discover her wolvish ways, what will happen? If the game continues then obviously there remains one wolf. If it is not Rikae then she will be killed, because a wolf must assume that she is indeed a seer. However, if Rikae remains alive, which we believe will happen, the village will have found its last wolf. Which means that Kath and Izzy should unite to kill her.

There is an obvious problem with this, though we believe it may be possible to solve it. If, say, Kath is the last wolf, then she could kill The Warriors of Finn and convince Izzy to help her kill the innocent Rikae. We believe there is a way, which the true seer shall know, to prove her magical ways. Obviously we cannot suggest it; but we hope the seer would know what we refer to.

Lots of scenarios, lots of possible outcomes. Currently, we believe that both Brinniel and Rikae are evil, and we will most likely vote for Brinniel today.

Another point. Notice the posts of today, after the mod threw out the crazy concept of the leprechaun. Rikae made a very single-minded post; Brinniel, who said something about 2 wolf kills, which is at odds with what happened on the first night, did not make much sense, nor did she try to get discussion going. Hers was a mere retort to Rikae. Only Izzy volunteered some notable thoughts on the strange events which had obviously happened.