[Meneltarmacil]

Okay, my analysis of momegil:

Post 22: Tosses out random accusations against Volo, Might, Mac, Kath, and Fea. Especially suspicious of Volo.

Post 60: Criticizes Lommy for wanting to keep helpful, interesting people alive. Calls for the lynching of Fea on Day 1 because "she generally only causes problems the later it goes."

Post 74: Criticizes Kuruharan for not realizing Nerwen was joking.

Post 95: Votes for Valier, saying she's too interested in keeping herself aliv to be innocent. Uneasy about Lommy for contradicting herself. Defends his comment about lynching Fea, saying it's "on principle." Says Rikae and Mac are innocent.

Post 119: Agrees with Volo about Valier looking "desperate."

Post 125: Criticizes me after I voted for him. His first point about me misunderstanding his Valier vote is reasonable, but the other points seem suspicious. Mainly, his criticism of my sarcastic joke looks like he's trying to read too much into me, and the last part about "What if I'm innocent?" suggests he wants me to make a comment similar to those that got my ancestors lynched.

Post 128: Criticizes Lommy for comments regarding her vote.

Post 133: Continues to attack Lommy for the same reason as before. Agrees with Kuruharan about looking at her carefully.

Day 1 impression: I don't like this. He starts the Day with an ill-founded suspicion of Volo that intensifies as the day goes on. He votes for an innocent because her posts seem to be directed at keeping her alive (what's wrong with wanting to stay alive?), actually agrees with Volo the guy who appeared to be Mr. Suspicious, about her, and then goes after me with two of his three statements very suspicious-looking. Not good at all. His position on Lommy is understandable, but considering that he builds up suspicion about her before the comment that really got him going, he could have been looking for an excuse.

Post 145: States that Lommy is a wolf and that she killed Valier to frame him. Also mentions that he could have pulled off a bluff like that. Mentions that the voting will come down to either him or Lommy. Suggests that the wolves probably didn't talk much about Valier on Day 1.

Post 175: Continues to lay suspicion on Lommy, claiming that she "came on to the scene seemingly screaming that Morm must be guilty!" Looking at what Lommy actually said, this seems like exaggeration to me. Thinks Farael looks good for not suspecting him. Backs off a little on Lommy after Farael criticizes him. Lists people who didn't vote for Nerwen, then says that out of these, Sally, Fea, and I are most likely to be wolves. Suspects Legate for not voting.

Post 215: Still suspects Fea, but not as much as before. Repeats his claim that Lommy is trying to frame him. "Goes with his gut," and votes for Volo.

Day 2 impression: I still don't like it. He really seems worried that few people beileve him about Lommy, and he continues to suspect Fea and Volo for little reason. I'm thinking that he may have been bluffing in an attempt to get rid of Lommy, but is now worried because it's not working the way he planned. As for Volo and Fea, he's been claiming suspicion of Volo and a desire to lynch Fea since Day 1, and giving only instinct (Volo) and "principle" (Fea) as reasons. Looking worse and worse now.

Post 308: Says that Brinn makes sense to him and agrees with her on Volo and me. Still maintains suspicion of Lommy. Suspects Kuru for going after him based on Green's defense of him.

Post 309: Accuses me of being lazy, denies ever agreeing with Green. Asks me to tell him when he agreed withGreen despite the fact that I've already mentioned specific points.

Post 311: Doesn't want a double lynch, but uses the opportunity to reiterate his suspicion of me and Volo.

Post 314: After I answer his request for quotes, he calls my reasoning "specious," but does acknowledge that he and Green had "similar suspects for similar reasons." However, earlier he claimed that he and [B]Green never agreed on anything!

Post 316: Says that Green mentioned suspicion of Lommy and Volo but never brought any hard evidence against them. Suspects a wolf-on-wolf, and accuses Volo again. Fails to mention that he's been doing the same thing to Volo, as the only "evidence" he's given against Volo has been gut reactions and bad feelings.

Post 318: Observes that Legate was supicious of him, then uses this to claim the wolves are setting him up. Accuses Kuru and me of being wolves and working out a plan to bring him down.

Post 321: Accuses me of flip-flopping. True, my suspicions were not as sure as they had been, which is why I decided to go back and read all his posts.

Post 347: Says Green agreed with him in order to help get him lynched.

Post 348: Agrees with Brinn that my flip-flopping makes me look wolfish.

Post 352: Says that Volo's statement that I'm probably innocent makes us both look like wolves.

Okay, I think this helps clarifies things. Mormegil is a wolf. He suspected both Fea and Volo without any evidence against either, probably tried to make Lommy look like a wolf without success, and then went to accusing me because I attacked him, while bringing his unfounded ("gut feelings" are not hard evidence) accusations of Volo with him (oddly enough, he sees Green making accusations against Volo with no evidence, yet he sees none of that in himself. The only evidence he gives against Volo comes extremely late, and only shows that Volo doesn't think I'm a wolf. He also tried to hide behind Brinniel, probably a misguided innocent, and come up with conspiracy theories about how the wolves have been trying to frame him the whole time. Plus, his denial that he ever agreed with Green despite my mention of specific points on which they agreed is telling.

I think I've made things pretty clear.

++mormegil

EDIT: cross-posted with a few people, notably Kuruharan