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Concerning the rules, as far as I know, there are no double nor triple lynches on this Stage.
Second. If Menel is a wolf, he knows we are both innocent. The best for him would be to side with the one of us who does not vote for him, if one of us does, or to side with one of us (up to his choice) if we vote for each other.
Casting a first vote with the pressure is starting the movement, thus, in this case, he would be totally dropping the idea of swaying me to believe him but relying on Valier to side with him.
If Valier is a wolf, Menel is just an innocent who made a mistake. It will be the best for her now to side with him, seal my fate and finish this. However, a careful wolf will wait, because quickly sealing another's fate will place him in the line on Day 1 and later.
EDIT: x-ed with Menel
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories
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