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Old 02-12-2008, 07:01 AM   #235
Nerwen
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Analysis of Legate of Amon Lanc:

Only one post on Day 1 (#108):

Expresses concern about "the strange joke-or-not-joke talkers" (Sally, Little Green and Shasta). Agrees with Aganzir that Mac's idea of lynching a "conventional" person is a bad one. Says that Rikae, Aganzir, Lommy and Gwathagor seem innocent, and that he is unsure of Mac, Menel, McCaber, Nogrod and me.

Votes Sally because her explanation of her vote for Shasta sounds wolfish.

This post comes straight after mine (#107), in which I said:

Quote:
Anyone else not like that last post of Sally's? She seems very eager to cover herself, doesn't she?
But Legate says his post crossed with mine (and others). Besides, I don’t think it took much to see Sally as suspicious at that point. I see it as not so much an easy vote as a logical one.

Day 2.

(#149)
Speculates why Lommy was killed– to leave no tracks, because ahe was dangerous to the wolves, or perhaps as a suspected Seer.

Posts a voting list for the previous Day. Says there might have been a wolf among the Aganzir voters– If so, it was probably not Gwathagor and was most likely Mac– on the other hand Sally and Rikae could be wolves together, with Rikae jumping on the Aganzir wagon.

(#155)
(Replying to Mac, who pointed out that Aganzir was already under suspicion) says that "it might have suited a wolf to raise such a last minute bandwaggon - and imagine what would've happened if for example Aganzir were a Seer." Says that he does not rule Gwathagor out, but repeats that Mac and Rikae are more likely to be wolves.

Says Mac gives him "a bad feeling" because of his comments about Lommy and Aganzir. [I agree with this.] Suggests that Lommy's death was a double-bluff.

Is still puzzled by Sally.

(#166)

(Replying to Mac, who said he did not understand his position on the Lommy kill) Says that he thinks Mac killed Lommy both to leave no tracks and to eliminate someone who suspected him. [Note: this appears to be self-contradictory and needs further explanation.]

Draws attention to the way Mac and Rikae defend each other. [Already noted by Menel and Greenie.]

Says Nogrod makes sense but that Sally makes him wonder.

Suggests that Mac, Sally and Rikae might be the wolves.

General comments: Plays it very safe indeed. This would be a good strategy for a wolf, yes– but also just a good strategy. There's really nothing there to seize on. As it stands, I'll pass Legate.

Edit: X'd with Mac, Legate, Menel and Mac again.
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