I might just try to look at this now. Yes we do not know the outcome but I'm as convinced on
Rikae's guilt one can be in a ww-game unless a seer has openly revealed and then gotten killed & proved true. And anyhow we could try to spot the possible innocent(s) from there as we can't have four wolves.
Surely one wolf might have voted for
Rikae as well but I can't believe there are two of them - or then this village is the most confused ever seen in the Barrow Downs.
Votes for
Nerwen:
1.
Shasta > Nerwen (Nerwen 1)
2.
Rikae > Nerwen (Nerwen 2)
5.
Sally > Nerwen (Rikae 2, Nerwen 3)
6.
Gwath > Nerwen (Rikae 2, Nerwen 4)
Okay then.
Shasta
was the first to vote. He said:
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shasta
Since I have to vote right now, for fear of modfire, and there are many others who believe Rikae to be guilty, I'm going to place another option up. A "just in case something turns up", but also someone I'm a bit suspicious of.
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Now this might be an innocent speaking here but still I think I'm smelling a rat here. This would be very safe indeed for a fellow wolf while not arousing too much suspicion (the early vote + the explanation) he still would have eased
Rikae's struggle.
innocence-factor 20%
Rikae
voted for
Nerwen because she had built up a case on her all the game and had managed to win many people to think her way about
Nerwen. She has played magnificiently (I mean this is going to the lorebooks!) but
Menel clearly had dreamt of her and that's the end of her story.
innocence-factor 1%
Sally
had this very wolfy-plan of lynching
Nerwen toDay and leaving
Rikae as the "safe bet" for toMorrow. But now if we managed to lynch
Rikae only with votes 5-4 when there are 6 innocents and 3 wolves how could we have lynched her toMorrow with possibly 3 wolves and only 4 innocents left? There's also the point about
Rikae shying away from voting
Sally on Day2 and sacrificing
Mac instead with a vote given so late no one could change the situation any more (poor
Mac waited for her online the last minutes to vote and give him a chance... how evil!).
innocence-factor 15%
Gwath
I suspected already yesterDay as I have found his actions erratic and confusing (we just may have different logics or something). His last post about how impressed he was with
Rikae's emotionally loaded performance kind of talks in favour of his innocence but not on behalf of his werewolf-wits. Sorry
Gwath but I'm afraid you have been fooled this time. Good players like
Rikae can pull anything out from their hats - it has been seen many times before. And
Gwath's logic is misguided at least in the sense that
Rikae had no other chance: being hunted monomaniacally by the revealed seer leaves one with only a few options... So a misguided ordo or a wolf?
innocence-factor 30%
What's your take on this? That's my opinion.
Btw. this doesn't mean the
Rikae-voters should be considered safe either. A witty wolf would cease the day if s/he saw innocents making bad decisions and voting for the non-wolf and thence voting for her/his mate just to gain credibility for the last Days. It would be wise indeed.
But speculating about the wolves here should be left for toMorrow as we are then 100% sure about
Rikae and see whom the wolves have taken out from the equiation during the Night.