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Old 07-08-2008, 06:24 PM   #255
Formendacil
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Perched on Thangorodrim's towers.
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Formendacil is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Formendacil is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Formendacil is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Formendacil is lost in the dark paths of Moria.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aganzir
The most suspicious thing about Form is that he keeps insisting at least one wolf voted for Sixth and bases his case on that.
Just the same way I could say that statistically it is likely that at least one wolf is among the four first persons on the player list (excluding myself), and analyse Nilp, Kitanna, Shasta and Boro, being confident that one of them is a wolf.
You have to pardon my Philosophy Major/English Minor tendency that comes forward here, Agan, but as the former I am aware of the importance of exact wording and as the latter I'm aware of the nuance of exact words. If I may make a slight correction to this statement--which is essentially true enough--I do not keep insisting there is a wolf among the Sixth-voters. Rather, I kept bringing it up. More importantly, however, it is not that I was certain that a wolf was among those numbers, but rather that it seemed a very good possibility--and given the size of the village and the difficulty of a random shotgun approach to analysing gut feelings about everyone else, I chose to focus in on five particular voters.

In a similar way, I'm probably going focus on the Elf-warrior voters from yesterday. It's not that I think a wolf necessarily hides there (excepting, maybe, our newly-bitten wolf), for indeed it would be quite sensible for the wolves to avoid so obvious a bandwaggon, since they certainly knew EW was not one of their own, but I think it possible, nonetheless, that there is one, and focusing on the voters of the most numerous bandwaggon gives me a narrowed field to concentrate on--which is important, given the lack of endless time in my life. Unlike some people, I am working this summer.

On first impression, there is nothing remarkable about the EW voters--with the single exception that EW's innocence leads me to think, with little enough good reason, that Mith might be innocent.

More later.
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