[Formendacil]

Thanks to a couple power failures (thank you, July thunderstorms), I am back somewhat later than I was planning, and without any analysis worked on, due to the absence of said power. What's more, my brain has gotten fuzzy and I'm ready for bed. Therefore, just a few thoughts rather than a longer analysis.

Mithalwen's early vote for EW absolves her of lupinity, from my point of view, since this was clearly not a wolf-on-wolf vote, though as a word of caution, it is possible that she knew that EW would be a prime suspect for the day, and cast her vote before would be a bandwaggon.

Formendacil: obviously, I'm innocent.

Eomer: gave EW that crucial third vote. Ancient history says that one should always be careful that EoR is not a wolf. I think that still holds, though it would be difficult to say exactly why I think that. If Eomer is a wolf, then Mithalwen very well could be too--banter between these two would be just the sort of Eomerian strategy I'd expect.

Eönwë : his vote gave EW the lead, but I'm not inclined to suspect him any more than I did yesterday. After all, he saved himself with his vote, which is the natural thing to do.

Rikae: Strikes me as only slightly suspicious. Her vote put EW as the clear front-runner, but there were still enough votes to swing in Eonwe's favour.

Nerwen: We already know this story.

Sally, Boromir88, and Aganzir all basically cast throwaway votes, and throwaway votes added to front-running bandwaggons are truly thrown away. With Sally I do not know what to make of this, having never played with her. With Boro, this is either a sign of his innocence (my current trend of thought) or else of his extreme cleverness (which is possible). I have not the presence of mind at this hour to discern which.

Agan's vote is highly similar to her first day's, in that it is clearly a throwaway, but while Day 1's vote met with my approval, this one does not. What was appropriate on Day 1 is not on Day 2. Now, part of this could just be Agan's style--I don't know--but I'm less confident of her than I was yesterday.



And, I know he didn't vote for EW, but I'll add a brief thought on Nogrod anyway. His vote, the very last, feels extra-thrown away, but I'm inclined to think this an indicator of innocence, since he makes himself quite visible indeed with this vote. Conversely, however, if Kitanna turns out to be a wolf, then I think this is damning evidence of his own guilt, since the fact he was harping on her so early would seem to be the sign of a pre-planning cover.



That's it for tonight... won't be back until about the final hour, probably, unless I get on very briefly in the morning.