The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - Werewolf XLVIII: When Virtual Becomes Reality

Nogrod · 07-14-2008, 05:46 PM

So why Boro thought it a good idea to make a fake-revealment?

The strongest reason for me to believe him over Shasta yesterDay was the fact that there was no gain or at least no gain big enough for him and his mate that it would be wise for him to come forwards and get himself killed on the next Day with that show-off... It just looked totally insane.

Any gains they could have then?

I had started suspecting Boro openly earlier yesterDay but it was more probing on my suspicions and quite far from me going after him with a full crusade (I really thought I had better suspects at that time) - not to speak of the probability of you others taking my points and going forcefully against him. So it wasn't that he was afraid of a certain death and thence trying to minimize the casualties taking Shasta with him as a last possibility of harming us.

With the ranger away they certainly had a free kill last Night - and lynching the ranger would be the preferable option to the wolves against the need to try and kill him during the Night because of the self-defence -option (and yes, I had totally ignored the ruling and only realised - and checked - it after Boro himself started talking about that option not being used by him yet... oh, that cunning bastard...

)

So, had Shasta been there they would have to have gambled whether he had defended himself already or not. That's 50-50 and they had already been denied once by Shasta - and if they tried others the ratio of ranger-defence vs. possible kills would go worse for them Night after Night. Would that be the psychological / logical factor that made Boro do his trick? Is that worth losing one of the two remaining wolves in a situation where there still are enough villagers to overpower a lonely wolf? I just can't bring myself to believe it so easily while I at the same time think that is the answer (and I was right then yesterDay on the self-defence -possibility being the clue!).

Or was it a panic reaction as Boro saw that his mate Aganzir was going to the gallows and he was getting suspected and that there were two known gifteds, and...? *pressure-pressure-pressure*

Somehow I think Boro is cool enough player not to act in panicky ways in that manner but that option should not be forgotten either.

07-14-2008, 05:46 PM	#600
Nogrod Flame of the Ainulindalë Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Wearing rat's coat, crowskin, crossed staves in a field behaving as the wind behaves Posts: 9,308	So why Boro thought it a good idea to make a fake-revealment? The strongest reason for me to believe him over Shasta yesterDay was the fact that there was no gain or at least no gain big enough for him and his mate that it would be wise for him to come forwards and get himself killed on the next Day with that show-off... It just looked totally insane. Any gains they could have then? I had started suspecting Boro openly earlier yesterDay but it was more probing on my suspicions and quite far from me going after him with a full crusade (I really thought I had better suspects at that time) - not to speak of the probability of you others taking my points and going forcefully against him. So it wasn't that he was afraid of a certain death and thence trying to minimize the casualties taking Shasta with him as a last possibility of harming us. With the ranger away they certainly had a free kill last Night - and lynching the ranger would be the preferable option to the wolves against the need to try and kill him during the Night because of the self-defence -option (and yes, I had totally ignored the ruling and only realised - and checked - it after Boro himself started talking about that option not being used by him yet... oh, that cunning bastard... ) So, had Shasta been there they would have to have gambled whether he had defended himself already or not. That's 50-50 and they had already been denied once by Shasta - and if they tried others the ratio of ranger-defence vs. possible kills would go worse for them Night after Night. Would that be the psychological / logical factor that made Boro do his trick? Is that worth losing one of the two remaining wolves in a situation where there still are enough villagers to overpower a lonely wolf? I just can't bring myself to believe it so easily while I at the same time think that is the answer (and I was right then yesterDay on the self-defence -possibility being the clue!). Or was it a panic reaction as Boro saw that his mate Aganzir was going to the gallows and he was getting suspected and that there were two known gifteds, and...? pressure-pressure-pressure Somehow I think Boro is cool enough player not to act in panicky ways in that manner but that option should not be forgotten either. __________________ Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet...