Okay. My team seems to have three obsolete players now.
DF- Nessa (Taniquetil)
DF- Yavanna (Taniquetil)
FW- Smaug (Erebor)
I need to get replacements for them. It's hard if we only have six changes available for the end of the tournament.
My reason tells me to quit my policies of sticking into beauties and the beasts but I will go for it anyway - and the only way to make a difference is to guess differently than you others.
So here are my bets then...
--Nessa (Taniquetil)
++ Luthien (Doriath)
Doriath's chances of getting to the next round after a play-off match with Armenelos are scarce indeed but here I will put my faith for a miracle. I may have to change this defender-post later but then I will do it if I can afford it. Anyway Luthien has always been one of my favourites and even if her tally looks pretty poor right now I'll just trust that she and her team will rise to the occasion.
-- Yavanna (Taniquetil)
++ Balrog #4 (Angband)
Another hard choice but Angband should beat Fornost giving Balrog #4 at least two games to play - and Hithlum / Mirkwood are not too scary opponents so that might be a good change indeed - not that Mordor defenders would be point-automats - looking how much there has been scoring against them... but maybe staying alive for a round or two.
-- Smaug (Erebor)
++ Miriel (Tuna)
I hate to see Smaug go but I've no chance here. I do owe it to the Tuna team that I once trusted them for real. I mean at the last round I was about to recruit both Miriel and Nerdanel to my team and they made 22 points together at that round! The chances of Tuna getting forwards from the game against Nargothrond are slight indeed but as you others will play for Nargothrond to win I will try my luck with this choice.
I probably should also change Scatha as Mirkwood team are clear underdogs in the game against Hithlum but I will not waste one of my precious changes there before the game - a miracle could happen there as well... - and there are no beast or beauties in the Hithlum team...
Beasts and Beauties (Nog)
G- Huan (Formenos)
DF- Tar Telperien (Armenelos)
DF- Cailín (Tol-In-Gaurhoth)
DF- Luthien (Doriath
DF - Balrog #4 (Angband)
MF- Idril (Gondolin)
MF- Aredhel (Formenos)
MF- Glaurung (Nargothrond)
FW- Ancalagon (Angband)
FW - Miriel (Tuna)
FW- Scatha (Mirkwood)