Gaunt, I think your theory makes quite a lot of sense. I'm impressed.

Of course we cannot know, but that's the first theory I've heard that makes any sense this far. So, our goal would now be finding two wolves that are fellows together and have no other ties?
Now, however, I would think differently about
Nogrod's and
Rune's deaths. I have no real idea why
Nogrod was killed, but I think
Rune was killed either for looking like a seer (which he was) or because no one except
Gwath really suspected him.