Rune: Well, to be blunt, I've seen
Nogrod come up with some pretty far-fetched, paranoid conspiracy theories before. It's almost a trademark of his. I've been at the receiving end of them more than once (and yes, as an innocent).
Nogrod has a well-deserved reputation as a legendary player, but he does have this particular weakness.
Anyway, I don't base my assessment of a theory on the reputation of the player who comes up with it.
Berry: A cobbler is a player who is an ordo in all respects, except that xe wants the baddies to win. Ferny is a cobbler with the added ability to send suggestions to the wraiths.