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Old 01-30-2009, 03:54 PM   #751
A Little Green
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Menelysis

(Analysis on Menel, my comments in italics.)

DAY 1

- In-character jokes, jesting about his tendency to get lynched early, Frodo should reveal but not on Day 1 or 2, Ferny = someone gathering information but not letting us in on it

- Aganzir not suspicious, agrees with her that Frodo should not be our primary concern, Mac ”a major puzzle”

- Not voting Nog, Agan or Brinn because they make sense, votes Mac with this:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Menel
Macalaure may be stumbling over the fact that he's a wraith and can't twist the villagers' words into anything suspicious, as his last list gives mostly "innocent" and "no clue".
You'll see later why I posted the quote.

DAY 2

- Still suspecting Mac because of his ongoing suspicion of Gollum. Says that the seer should not be openly discussed because it endangers him/her even though it also might help to protect him/her.

- Says that if Fea was suggesting lynching Mac he'd be in for it.

- Clarifies his suspicion of Mac, saying that he was suspicious of him because Mac suspected Gollum throughout Day1 and not only in the end.
Wait... He said earlier he suspected Mac because of Gollum's lynch, but if Mac had indeed suspected him for the whole Day it shouldn't be surprising he wants him lynched.

- Has been checking out Aganzir because wants to focus on others than Mac, says she appears innocent but doesn't have much ideas on what to do and concentrates a lot on Nog. Says that a lack of suggestions should not define one as a wraith since he has no idea what to look for. Speculates that either Rikae or Mac might be a wraith since they are confusing the village. Votes Mac.
This post is one of the most eyebrow-raising ones I found. First of all, if (at least on Day 1) Agan was one of the three people he didn't suspect then why did he choose to check her and not someone else? That thing about lack of suggestions not being a sign of wraithism is also weird since he voted Mac on Day one for exactly that...

- Answers to why he keeps suspecting Mac:
Quote:
Actually, it's not about revenge, craziness, being a wraith, or anything else, Mac. It's just that I really have no idea what to do, found a few odd things in your posts, and can't figure out anything else.

I'm sorry, really.
DAY 3

- Says Fea is hovering between helpful and mysterious, was strange on Day 1 because she said she'd look at Sally but looked at Brinn instead and suspected her with no reason. Says Fea's role in the Dury bandwagon was suspicious because it came out of nowhere and led to an innocent dying. Says he is wary of Fea.

- A sort of list. Not suspicious: Agan, Brinn and Legate, Suspicious: Mac (Ferny comment, Gollum's lynch) and Fea (reasons that are obvious for everyone), Rikae to a lesser extent (seer things), can't decide between Mac and Fea.
I am bothered by how easy his suspicions and also his non-suspicions are.

- Rolls the dice to decide between Mac and Fea, votes Mac.
Note: he votes Mac for the third time in a row.

DAY 4

- Reaction to Lommy and Brinn's reveals:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Menel
A sneaky one you are, Lommy. And Brinn, I always figured you were on our side.
Well, Sally is evil, we can all agree on that. And by tomorrow we'll know another person's role. I'd suggest looking at Mac during the next Night phase, but that's just me.
Lists everyone except Brinn, Lommy, Sally and himself as possible wraiths. Votes Sally.
First of all, maybe it's because Brinn was a wolf but I don't like how he believes Brinn and not Lommy. I'd understand it if he said "I don't know who to believe, I'm more inclined to believe Brinn" or something like that, but it looks like he's dead certain Brinn tells the truth.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Menel
One thing I'm wondering about: If Brinn is a wraith, which I definitely consider possible, why does she also mention Sally as a wraith? And why would a Lommywraith point the finger at her fellow wraith Sally if she wants to sow confusion?

This whole thing just seems wrong.
And now he considers it possible that Brinn is a wraith, when in the post before this he is so certain of Brinn being the real seer?

- After the general consensus, so to speak, had all but decided that Brinn would be a better lynch candidate than Sally:
Quote:
I'll let my Sally vote stand for now, as I can be reasonably sure she's a wraith. This seer business should clear itself up soon enough when we see who the wolves try to kill.
Says that the only one who really has to worry about the seer's identity at this point is the ranger.
His insistence of voting Sally instead of Brinn is weird. It could be a wolf trying to save the one of his fellows who might still stand a chance of survival.

DAY 5

Says he'll be busy today. Votes Sally.


CONCLUSIONS?

Menel has done some eyebrow-rising stuff (eg. his suspecting Mac so persistently with the reasons changing along the way, and also his reactions to the seer reveals, the way he keeps talking only about a small number of people, and flying under the general radar (of which we others may be to blame more than he is)). I'm glad I checked him. He seems somewhat suspicious on the basis of what I have read, and I'll be having a much tighter eye on him from now on. He's easy to let slip by unnoticed since he mostly posts relatively short posts every now and then, but I at least won't be doing than anymore.
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