[Nerwen]

We can narrow toDay's lynch down further, I think:

The unknowns.

Lhuna– no. Too much risk she's telling the truth.
Nienna– no. May be a sneaky, low-profile wraith– but for the moment, she hasn't done anything to warrant being lynched. (Again, Sally's parting remarks aren't evidence either way.)

That leaves–

Shasta
Rune
Eönwë

I have to go now, but I'll be back with my thoughts on each of them.