I started to analyse
Lommy’s behaviour towards
Eonwe,
Gwath,
Izzy, and
Shasta yesterday, but RL came in between me and the really important things. I didn’t look at
Nerwen, since I didn’t consider it possible that she’s her fellow mutineer. Now, I only consider it very unlikely (we do have to think about it).
Just a few comments about
Eonwe and
Shasta, since they’re dead.
Lommy is fine with
Eonwe almost through the entire game (except for thinking he might be a cobbler briefly). She declares him innocent, ridicules my case against him, and defends him staunchly. Then suddenly the turnaround yesterday. Her defense of him against me must've either been consciously faked, or she analysed him very little before. Once she took the time to look at him yesterday, she conveniently reached a different conclusion. Now he’s dead.
Did anyone notice that
Lommy didn’t vote for
Shasta on Day1 because she considered herself to be too much of a coward? That attitude quite changed afterwards.

She suspected him strongly without any solid reason at all, and when she analysed yesterday, she had to make huge leaps to still colour him bad.
Gwath and
Izzy then.
Lommy suspected
Gwath for a while earlier in the game and even voted for him on Day3 in 3rd position. The next day she’s still suspicious, but less so (without reason). She says she’s still ok with voting for him, but at the same time she dissuades others from doing so. After that, she rapidly drops her suspicion and then declared him innocent (she goes from there to there in a strangely continuous fashion) and still does. Her vote quite suggests he’s innocent, but all her latter behaviour suggests the opposite. Her behaviour towards him on Day4 absolutely screams wolf.
With
Izzy she starts out thinking she’s innocent, even stating that she’s one of those she feels best about. Again, she dissuaded people from voting for her on Day4. On the same day later, she concluded that
Izzy must be either really frustrated or a cobbler. Henceforth, she never considers her to be anything else but a cobbler.
Lommy keeps her safe by calling her innocent as long as she can. When she can’t anymore, she tries to keep her safe by calling her a cobbler and never considering something else.