People Shasta talks about:
- 'accuses' Fea for "no real reason other than that she's pretty."
- points out that Greenie's the only one to try to get things moving
- points out that Lottie's quietness is very out of character and that he may vote for her
- asks 'she for whom the moon doth shine' what she thinks of Eomer's vote (for Greenie); as a side note, I'm not at all certain who this question was directed to, and I've been wondering if he meant me
- notes that Pitch's suspicion of Fea seems sudden and forced, since he hadn't mentioned any suspicion prior; not sure Pitchwolf would be clumsy enough to bandwagon so shamelessly
- points out that it's odd that Sally agrees with him about Pitch being wolfy and trying to bandwagon Fea
Note: Shasta does not vote
People Who Interact with or mention Shasta:
- Fea: lazily argues that his assessment of her physical beauty is shoddy, since she's not all that, blah blah blah.
- Wilwa: points out that Shasta's suggestion that Fea is pretty is not original
- Agan: 'blames Shasta for [her] own special reasons' (citing that playing is different once you've done it in person with your co-village); jokes that Shasta's first post means he's evil (which is a traditional first Day joke); points out that his banter with Fea is either buttering her up or two wolves playing; says Shasta doesn't seem to want to kill Peter Jackson;
- Boro: says that Shasta butters people up just by looking at them;
- Pitch: says Shasta's guilty of making lame jokes; claims he has no read on Shasta;
- Greenie: says she's lost count of the number of times Shastawolf has totally fooled her; notes that she can understand Shasta's suspicion of Lottie, but that she understands Lottie's lack of participation at that point;
- Sally: corrects Shasta's mistake about DL; says Shasta seems 'strange'; agrees with Shasta that Pitch's suspicion of Fea seems bogus; ranks Shasta in 4th place on her suspicion list
- Lottie: specifically reserves judgment on Shasta
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Now, it's possible that the wolves killed Shasta for a multitude of reasons.
Either Shasta seemed like the Seer, or he didn't.
If he did, that makes Fea and Pitch look suspicious. Fea because he accused her at all (for being pretty), but mostly Pitch, since Shasta's suspicion of him was based on Pitch's attempts to discredit Fea.
Since it was attempts to discredit Fea that made Pitch look bad to Shasta, that suggests that Shasta didn't actually believe Fea was bad.
If Shasta was killed for looking Seerish, this exonerates Lottie, since Shasta said she might be the cobbler, and the wolves would not know who the cobbler is, nor would Shasta-seer be able to actually tell the difference between cobbler and ordo. Ie: if Lottie was a wolf, she wouldn't think Shasta is seer for claiming she might be cobbler. Ie:
If Shasta died because the wolves thought he was seer, it means that Pitch is a wolf and Lottie is not.
If Shasta wasn't killed for looking like the seer:
It means that he was killed either to make somebody look bad, or not to make anybody look bad.
If he was killed to make somebody look bad, it would make Aganzir, Greenie, and Sally look poorly due to their comments about him, and it would make Pitch and Lottie look poorly due to his comments about them.
If he was killed to make non-wolves look bad, it means that the remaining wolves are most likely within this group: Nerwen, Wilwa, skip, Boro, or Eomer. There is a corollary here that the wolves may have wished to direct suspicion toward themselves so as to hide in the open. Since those who look bad due to the death of Shasta are Agan, Greenie, Sally, Pitch, and Lottie, one must try to decide if any of them are likely to double bluff (answer: yes).
If he was killed as a trail-less to make nobody look bad, on the other hand, it could be anybody.