Phew, what a day, only got here now, will try my best. So.
First off, I agree with
Lommy on why
Sally was killed - to find her seerish would have required the wolves assuming a double-bluffing
Sally-seer.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lommy
To be honest I don't know what sense voting Nerwen made - aren't weirdness and "unproductiveness" much more usual signs of ordoishness than of wolvishness? I think the voting reasons of everybody in the nerwagon (including myself) are silly, but so were mostly the reasons of other votes. I think the biggest dilemma regarding analysing yesterDay is whether we can use the votes as valid anything or not, because a big part of the village was thinking they might as well vote random...
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I agree with pretty much everything she says here, but I also get
Boro's point about why there's something off here. It goes without saying that an honest villager can admit to making mistakes. However, the tone reminds me a bit of someone hastily pointing out their own flaws so that others can't do it. But then again, some of the stuff she has said has struck me as stuff a wolf wouldn't want to say.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eomer
Should we just accept that we have to hunt wolves or should we perhaps think about lynching our Hunter today? It guarantees that the Heir becomes another Hunter, and it takes a shot at killing someone else at the same time. Could be a wolf, could not; but it's the same chance as getting a wolf as our lynching would be, and it gets us the Heir as guaranteed.
Just thinking out loud here; please judge the idea critically.
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Right now I think that is as good a plan as any. However if we want to do that the Hunter should come out rather soon because European bed-time is approaching.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nog
I don't understand why some of you wish to lynch the hunter. If the hunter is lynched s/he will take anyone with her/him. So early on there is a very imminent possibility lynching the hunter will mean losing two goodies with one lynch. If the wolves kill the hunter during the night s/he will not kill an innocent in retaliation but can take a wolf (and we'd gain a new hunter).
So let's hope the wolves get the hunter and not us.
If we need to consider lynching a gifted - which is an option we might face soon enough - I do suggest we go for the ranger (if the ranger is willing to sacrifice her/himself) because s/he is immediately re-installed and the new one can continue in the role.
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Like
Inzil said, killing the Hunter has the advantage that we can actually tell what role the Heir assumes. If we go with your plan and lynch the Ranger, there's always the possibility we lynch a false Ranger instead and would never be any the wiser. (Though how probable is it that the wolves want to take the risk and have one of them fake-reveal?) In any case, leaving the Hunter to the wolves would include an assumption that the wolves hit the exact one person they want to avoid of the ten-ish possibilities.
Nog is bothering me a little. Maybe it's just because I don't see his point, but my initial reaction was as follows. A wolf would really object to lynching the Hunter, if only deep inside his furry self. A bold wolf would say it aloud and hope to turn the village around.
EDIT: x-ed with Egg-nog and 2x Eomer