11 people left, 4 of which are wolves. If we don't lynch a wolf toDay, it's 4 wolves and 4 innocents toMorrow, and we will have lost. Unless the ranger is lucky, of course.
Let's look at what the seer left us (typing while I read).
Day1: Makes positive remarks about
me,
Kitanna,
Agan, and
Legate, me twice. He definitely didn't find a wolf Night1, unless he completely keeps quiet about it.
Day2: He's after
Legate a little. In his #252 list there's a host of people he feels good about, but only two he feels "no-nonsense" bad about -
Legate and
Aganzir. Strangely he lists
Agan twice (adding "on" to the "bad
Agan"). Is he hinting that
Legate is dreamt of and evil while using
Agan to make it less obvious to the wolves? He votes
Lottie, but mentions he would have prefered
Legate.
Day3:
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shasta
Legate, after rereading, is not as suspicious as I thought he was. (Sorry!)
|
Obviously, he now dreamt of
Legate and clears him unmistakably.
He's very eager to lynch
Inzil or
Nessa. We know
Inzil is innocent, and most likely he dreamt of
Legate the night before. Since he didn't mention
Nessa much before, I doubt he knows she's evil. My guess is he wants to get rid of enigmas so he won't be forced to waste dreams on them. He also votes innocent
Inzil - if he had dreamt of
Nessa, he wouldn't have done that. (He also seems uncertain of
Nessa the next Day.)
Day4: List in #459:
If he dreamt of anyone guilty, it has to be
Manwe, as he's his first item on the analysis list. This might explain why he's dead, even though there was a fair amount of suspicion against him.
He lists me as intermediate, so probably he hasn't dreamt of me after all.
He doesn't list anyone as clearly unsuspicious. He's hiding his known innocent well here.
The Green-Yellow-Red list in #460 is clearer:
Legate,
Aganzir,
Rikae dreamt of and innocent.
He lists nobody as red, though. Maybe he hasn't dreamt of
Manwe and his fourth dream is already dead? Did he think listing
Manwe as sole prime suspect would be too obvious?
The conclusion of his
Manwe analysis is very condemning, but he was very negative about
Legate before, too. What sets the two cases apart though:
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Shasta
I think Manwe is the first person to enter my 'Red' category.
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That's as plain as it has to be.
His
Cailín analysis in inconclusive, which suggests that he did not dream of her and it's just a regular analysis.
He keeps on talking about
Agan being the cobbler, which either means he hasn't dreamt of
Agan after all (which means he hasn't necessarily dreamt of
Rikae either).
Mänwe: known wolf.
Legate: known innocent.
.. would be my conclusion.
Cailín, you aren't even considering
Mänwe - are you sloppy or evil?
