A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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NOGALYSIS:
Day 1
- using the "random vote" argument to stir his own soup
- Greenie "might be up to something"
- Lottie "not too comfortable with"
- "something bothers" him about Pitch
- bothered about Boro the way he "painted G55 suspicious"
- agreeing with me a lot on several things
- larger and more focus on Lottie
- happy to lynch Bom
- he says he had tried to write a post on Zil two times and always decided not to post it - "you make me mad Zil!" (#122)
- does not believe in the guilt of Lommy (based on evidence) - sort of defense
- is "torn on principle" after Shasta's suggestion of Bom
- says he considers for voting: G55 or Boro, possibly Eruhen - or go with Shasta and vote Bom
- votes Bom
- says seems like he parroted almost everything I had said
Day 2
- short excursion about Acolyte
- explains how yesterDay sudden Lommywagon raised his eyebrows and made him wary
- analysis of Rikae after her death: says she suspected Zil, Steve, been "engaged with Lottie and nasty with G55"
- rebukes Pitch for being wise on hindsight (about Bom-lynch)
- retrospectively says he wanted to originally think of options between Bom, Boro and G55, and he did not want to vote Lommy by any means
- some hunter-thoughts about Zil or Boro maybe not being WWs if Rikae had hunted them, but he's being rather confused about that
- suspicions against Steve and G55. By the way, I think here might also be part of the reason for G55's death toNight: the WWs saw Nog was against her, so after he died, people might consider G55 innocent...
- again making it more hazy about whether Zil or Boro were Rikae's targets, whether they are WWs and she miscalculated, or are not... basically he's making the whole matter mysterious (which won't hurt him, I would think that at least one of his fellows is somehow in there - Boro or Zil, not sure if he'd talk specifically about them if it was them both)
- arguing with Boro, arguing with Pitch, suspecting G55...
- then a list!!! Great. Not sure what to make of it, though. Tends to trust Greenie somewhat, me somewhat; normal feelings from Lommy (nothing for or against) and something positive-seeming about Pomegranate. Vileness about Pitch, no ideas about Lottie, Sally, Shasta (no show until then). Mess with Boro, suspicion of G55. Enigmatic Zil-acolyte, we all know the story.
- from then on: Seer has revealed. Turns against Steve, G55 and slightly Boro.
- continues on "Zil is acolyte" until the very end.
This all leads me to believe:
1. Lottie is innocent (further supports my belief in that, I am now almost 100% sure she is innocent)
2. I am not sure what to make of Nog's attitude to Lommy, honestly that goes absolutely over my head, might be this, might be that...
3. Not sure about Greenie - there was the original slight suspicion, but later nothing; might be a packmate (small W-on-W and then nothing)
4. Now after reading this - I know that it will again sound like I am going purposefully against you, Shasta - after reading this, it's really weird that Shasta was the one person who followed the idea to lynch Zil and what more, that he is Acolyte. However, when I read what Shasta had said on his very voting post, it would again take a lot of boldness from a Wolf to do that. So basically the same thing as the first Day. Either Shasta is incredibly bold this game and now he has to stick to the role he had prepared for himself (promoting the thought that we have evil Zil Acolyte and need to get rid of him), or then he genuinely believes that (but then he was really jumping to completely unfounded assumptions).
5. As everything with Zil in this game, it is too hard to determine what he was thinking: whether Zil was a packmate and he was making a mess about the acolyte thing and later Nog wanted to (since he was a goner anyway) accuse a fellow Wolf; or whether Zil was innocent, Nog randomly went on with this Acolyte thing and then after he was revealed as Wolf, simply continued to accuse him in order to confuse us. Somehow, after thinking about it, I think the latter sounds more likely.
6. I have no idea what to make out of his interactions with Boro
7. being nice to Pomegranate - might be just echoing the agreeing posts, but of course might be packmates too
8. I would say it makes Pitch look better that Nog suspected him - though again, he never really voted him, so I think somebody should look at Pitch, too (he's a submarine, anyway) - not sure if toDay, but for future reference, for sure!
9. General thought about Wolf mentality: I would believe there is at least one Wolf among those Nog had not been talking much about. It is after all always better not to have to state your opinion on somebody, as it does not connect you in either way, positively or negatively.
Not sure how much this is helpful, but at least some more food for thought in general.
Btw: Was it Nog who had come up with that "Zil is Acolyte" stuff or was it somebody else before him, too? Does anybody remember?
EDIT: x-ed with Zil
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories
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