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I'll be surprised if it gets consideration for any but the secondary awards (special effects, cinematography, score, etc.). I think the Academy will have a "been there done that" attitude to these movies. And I doubt the movies will do anything to warrant consideration for another major award--I'm looking forward to them, but in many ways they will tread the same ground as the LOTR movies (which were, btw, based on much meatier subject matter).
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