The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - WW: XCVIII ~ Game Thread ~ Death at the Foot of Taniquetil

A Little Green · 10-21-2012, 09:40 AM

Gah. I wrote a long post and Firefox went down and it's gone.

The main points I think were the following:

1) Nerwen's list gave me second thoughts about Copper. The ones I was considering voting toDay were Boro and Sally. I was leaning towards voting Boro toDay, but given that I need to vote soon and wish to avoid a scenario like yesterDay's I might consider voting Sally again after all. At least I wouldn't feel alone!

2) On possible pairings: I'd say that if you find one, you should look into it (especially if there are signs of possible hints/communication from before the two knew each other), but I would also advise against spending a great deal of time on looking for pairs as they might not even exist yet.

3) On whether the wolves would support Nog's voting plan or not: I would say generally no. I had a very long theory on this that I don't have the energy to type again, but the main point is that the planned randomizing of votes would mean, to a wolf, an increased possibility of a fellow getting killed, and less of a possibility to steer the lynch away from themselves. But since the same holds more or less true also for non-wolves (the randomizing of the lynch leading to a higher probability of someone they think is on their side getting lynched, and less opportunities to steer the lynch to the direction they want), which is why we can't really start pointing fingers based solely on who disagreed with Nog's plan.

Actually, now that I think on it, could the whole voting-plan thing be conneted to why Nog was killed? If the wolves don't know each other, I guess they consider their kill lists also in light of who is least probable to be a fellow; and if I'm right in assuming that Nog's voting plan would not have been beneficial for them, Nog would have seemed like an unlikely fellow. I'm not sure how much sense that makes, though, and there are a lot of ifs involved. Also, one could also make a case on how the randomized lynch makes it, in many ways, easier to hide in the voting (as opposed to the usual accusations of bandwagoning and throwaway votes and the like).

Hmm. I've just contradicted myself, haven't I?

Also, Nog's voting plan sounds like a World War Two strategy...

10-21-2012, 09:40 AM	#134
A Little Green Leaf-clad Lady Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 1,571	Gah. I wrote a long post and Firefox went down and it's gone. The main points I think were the following: 1) Nerwen's list gave me second thoughts about Copper. The ones I was considering voting toDay were Boro and Sally. I was leaning towards voting Boro toDay, but given that I need to vote soon and wish to avoid a scenario like yesterDay's I might consider voting Sally again after all. At least I wouldn't feel alone! 2) On possible pairings: I'd say that if you find one, you should look into it (especially if there are signs of possible hints/communication from before the two knew each other), but I would also advise against spending a great deal of time on looking for pairs as they might not even exist yet. 3) On whether the wolves would support Nog's voting plan or not: I would say generally no. I had a very long theory on this that I don't have the energy to type again, but the main point is that the planned randomizing of votes would mean, to a wolf, an increased possibility of a fellow getting killed, and less of a possibility to steer the lynch away from themselves. But since the same holds more or less true also for non-wolves (the randomizing of the lynch leading to a higher probability of someone they think is on their side getting lynched, and less opportunities to steer the lynch to the direction they want), which is why we can't really start pointing fingers based solely on who disagreed with Nog's plan. Actually, now that I think on it, could the whole voting-plan thing be conneted to why Nog was killed? If the wolves don't know each other, I guess they consider their kill lists also in light of who is least probable to be a fellow; and if I'm right in assuming that Nog's voting plan would not have been beneficial for them, Nog would have seemed like an unlikely fellow. I'm not sure how much sense that makes, though, and there are a lot of ifs involved. Also, one could also make a case on how the randomized lynch makes it, in many ways, easier to hide in the voting (as opposed to the usual accusations of bandwagoning and throwaway votes and the like). Hmm. I've just contradicted myself, haven't I? Also, Nog's voting plan sounds like a World War Two strategy... __________________ "But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created."