[Rikae]

Going through everything from the beginningwith an eye to all the now-known roles.Commenting as I read, so my opinions evolve through the post.

Day 1

First off, wow, I didn't notice this from Loslote on day 1:

Originally Posted by Loslote

An' what's Kat doin' singin' 'bout Wizers of Oz? She sayin' Oz is a Wizer? You know sommut we don'?

Yeah, this is still in the banter zone, but even so, how is that a good thing for an innocent to say? I thought the same thing but didn't mention it until I no longer thought so! A wizard might say it, though, hoping to get people interested in an Oz lynch.

I keep thinking about the ranger save on night two, and how someone must have done something in day one that would have looked seerish to both the wizard and the ranger. Yes, I think they were going for the seer then, because the odds of a ranger save are so low by chance alone -there must be something. Mind you, I'm not trying to out the ranger! Shut up, ranger.
I am not sure, though, whether the seer had a dream before day 1. I assume so because we started with a night phase, but maybe a mod can clear that up?
It kind of looks as though Morsul and Pom are trying to interact with each other a little bit. He says he always suspects her, she asks if that means he will now, he says no, he doesn't want to have tunnel vision, and later says that her suggestion (pro-banter) is good. Looks like he's maybe trying to excuse himself from ignoring her preemptively. I could be reading too much into this, though.

Weirdly, in #29 McCaber says Inzil "defended" Pom, when actually Inzil was kind of doing the opposite, saying Pom didn't make a good suggestion but just a standard day 1 statement. Probably an honest mistake on Cab's part although it jumped out at me as weird even at the time. Defends, really? Why did Cab think Pom was under attack in the first place? It's weird.

Sally is bantering up a storm and really, really under the radar. In fact, I keep forgetting she's in this game, which isn't the usual case with her. As a matter of fact, there is half a page of banter between Sally, Nerwen and Copper. Don't get me wrong, it's funny banter! However, Brinn puts a stop to it and talks about hating day 1 and baddies using banter as a distraction.

Brinn says I "seem the most genuine" (something I thought a little odd at the time because I hadn't done anything but banter myself) and that Pom "seems okay as well, for now". The "for now" is seerish in retrospect, at least. I suppose I wouldn't have been an unlikely night 1 dream. Brinn also criticizes Copper's and Morsul's votes, but votes for Nerwen, saying "I don't feel terribly confident in my vote" and emphasizing that it is "weak reasoning". Because of this I'm inclined to think she hadn't dreamed of Nerwen at that point and wanted to emphasize that for someone reading after her death. A badly reasoned vote for a known wiz would have been seer suicide, after all.

Gil votes for Nerwen claiming not to want to add another name, and they argue about it for another half a page. Gil's reasoning was strange there.

Pom says

Nerwen vs Gil-galad. I'm not inclined to think either of them Wizers based on this dispute. Ner jumps, but reasonably, not only because of a vote for her but because of a very strangely cast vote. And despite saying that, as well as the fact that some of Gil's explanations do indeed seem forged (coming way after the vote and slowly developing more and more elaborate), the paranoia seems more like something a typical first-day-lynch innocent would be like, rather than a Wizard. It is creating discussion and pulling attention towards him. For that, and for the sake of him, after all, being a typical first-day lynch, I'd be willing to give him a pass for the day."

Unfortunately I could see a wolf saying this about any two people of any roles in such an argument. A good way to win innocents' trust as well as defend a fellow without it standing out.

In #99 Pom defends Nerwen again, from Brinn. Would she be so obvious in defending her if Nerwen was evil? I doubt it.

Sally points out Pom's "Keep an eye on people going for Cop I'd say.", and Inzil agrees that it's "odd".

Greenie comes in, agrees with a bunch of people, and then says of Pom "The girl's got some nerve saying this right after voting Cop herself. "
Hmm.

Lottie says:

Pom feels like she's trying to be reasonable and agreeable while actually being nothing of the sort, which makes me raise my eyebrows a bit. I'd have to say she's my top suspect right now.

Again, would a baddie at this point? Would a Lottie-baddie particularly? Maybe.

Volo says:
[quoteBrin #67 How come is Rikae genuine. All she's done is troll around cheerfully and preach that banter is useless and banter about banter more so (which is a helpful observation, but only by so much). Brin #67 How come is Rikae genuine. All she's done is troll around cheerfully and preach that banter is useless and banter about banter more so (which is a helpful observation, but only by so much). [/quote]

Now I think he's picked up on seerishness and pointing it out to the wolves, but again I may be reading too much into this.

Inzil votes for Pom, but Cab looks more likely to be lynched at this point. Lottie gives her the second vote, making Lottie look somewhat better to me. Sally ties Pom with Cab, making her look much better. Voting for a baddie isn't always so innocent-looking, but at this point there was a Cab wagon with very similar reasoning behind it that a wolf could have easily chosen.

And of course Shasta decided the lynch. Why, in fact, is he still alive? Come to think of it, eliminating someone so innocent looking (and known for being psychic) would have been a good choice, which (along with the ranger save) does lean toward them thinking they had found the seer instead.

Day 2:

Jumping right to Brinn. She says, out of Nerwen's options, t is most likely [quote=Nerwen]
[4]McCaber is innocent and Pom saw a chance to have it both ways, setting up a second line of suspicion against the other Cop voters. (Without really thinking it through.)[quote]
Although she also says #3, McCaber is guilty is possible but not very likely. She also says she doesn't think Sally and Shasta are wolf-on-wolf voters.

None of these really seems like a dream hint, except maybe the McCaber thing. I suppose it's possible she dreamed of Cab and found him innocent.

Brinn then looks at everyone in #187. She doesn't pick anyone out as particularly guilty, and Oz is the only one she outright refers to as "suspicious". It looks like she had only dreamed of innocents.

This sounds very seerish from Brinn and the wolves might have thought so:

Originally Posted by Brinn

In my previous post, I forgot to keep the cobbler in consideration. Anyone could be the cobbler and their vote and/or a baddie's opinion of them doesn't put them in the clear for that role. But I'm not going to worry much about that possibility since the cobbler isn't the easiest to identify, especially if they inadvertently help the village. And the cobbler counts as an ordo;

In #203 Brinn doesn't appear to be singling anyone out, and McCaber isn't on her most innocent list.

Day 3:

Not going to say much now because I have to go make dinner, but Brinn is now defending Morsul, and says:

Originally Posted by Brinn

Most votes went to Oz and Morsul. I wondering if maybe both these candidates were innocent. While I'm still not sure about Morsul, he hasn't struck me as particularly suspicious. I need to take a bit of a break, but I'll look more closely at yesterDay's events later.

I would think she dreamt of him, but for the "still not sure". She also defends me. She suggests that one of Sally and Shasta may be a baddie, and this is why they weren't killed. She analyzes Gil (#369) and says she's worried about Nogrod. In #376 she lists everyone again, but nothing looks like a hint to me! Perhaps she found the ranger or hunter and wants to conceal that? I don't think she found any wizard, but if she did it would be Gil, since her case against him kind of comes out of the blue. That would also explain her death, if it wasn't from general seerishness.

Ai! I wasn't here for this:

Originally Posted by Gil

I am afraid I am going to have to trust Green here that she might be the seer, and with Bore getting suspicions since day one, I am following my gut here.

++Boromir88

Talking openly about the seer, instrumental in the Boro lynch, and the seer focused on him. Gil is going to the top of my suspect list.

And then Brinn says at the end of the day:

Originally Posted by Brinn

Inzil, I would've preferred lynching Gil, but spreading out the votes seemed risky and I don't think enough suspected him for him to be lynched toDay.

Ok, now I think she dreamed of him.

EDIT: X'd with everyone since my last post.