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Old 10-15-2014, 04:10 AM   #180
Nerwen
Wisest of the Noldor
 
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Rikae, Day One

#11.
Banter: is “definitely not a wolf, because I’m posting fifth”.

#14.
Replying to Zil #12, who pointed out she was fourth:
Quote:
Why would I lie? ARE YOU ACCUSING ME OF LYING?

Inzil is a wolf 'cause he's looking for an easy lynch.
#16.
Explains her counting error: "Nah, I just counted Nerwen, Inzil, Cate Blanchett and McCaber.”

#17.
Will be “most displeased” if people don’t post.

#20.
Replying to Zil #18, who believes there is little to discuss yet,
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikae
We can discuss the most basic thing of all: how people are posting (if only they were posting).
It may not be rock-solid evidence, but in the end, it can work, and it's what usually tips the balance in a WW game anyway.
At this point, though, if nothing changes, I'm inclined to vote for the last person who posts, or for the person who says the least.

Or I could vote for Mac, who I know for a fact is aware of the game and had the opportunity to post.
Comment: This was followed by Mac's appearance, McCaber's “chiming in” comment and all that jazz.

#28.
Replying to Zil #23, Legate #24, asks, "How's Cab suspicious? Or is this still just banter?”

#29.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikae
I can't see "wolf-on-wolf" on the level of Mac's comment about Cab being either risky or... well... much of anything.. I mean, it's a silly rhyme the kids say when they come to the dinner table.

Although Cab's response to Mac does worry me slightly.
Tally
Zil —> Mac


#35.
Suspicion list. I am “somewhat antsy”; finds Zil “opportunistic" for "jumping-on-Cab-for-jumping-on-Mac” and wonder why he voted the latter rather than the former, his apparent main suspect. Doesn’t find McCaber as suspicious as Legate and Zil do. Legate “seems legit”. Will give Mac a free pass for “eight years of being nice”. Sally, Agan, Wilwa and Greenie are “absent, and therefore all evil”. Shasta, is therefore too useful to lose.
Unless evil... psychic wolves? Nope nope nope…” Remarks that threatening to vote people seems to work, says perhaps she will vote for Sally.

#39.
Commenting on Sally's appearance (and “Love you too” comment) at #38:
“Speak of the devil!”
(Sally replies, “No dear, phantom isn’t in this game”.)

Tally
Zil —> Mac
Mac —> Shasta
Sally —> Zil


#48. Vote-post.
Quote:
Well, I really hate to vote early, but I also hate to get up early on Saturdays, so...

Best I've got at this point:
++Inziladun
Comments: Nothing really untoward here. Banter with Sally *might* be wolf-on-wolf, but then again might be just banter.


Rikae, Day Two

#91. Agrees with me (#85, #86) that the wolves likely thought Agan the Seer. Thought my alternative bluff-theory far-fetched, but comments that Zil is “weird and defensive” and is now “entertaining the possibility". Finds Greenie suspicious for her “trumped-up” case on Legate; believes her comment (#58) on Zil, especially the suggestion of his vote being a typo, may have been an attempt to whitewash a packmate. Admits she may be too fixated on the idea of an Inzilwolf and will need to look at others. Disagrees with McCaber's trust of quite people, as she has seen many quiet wolves. Want to hear more from Wilwa and Shasta. Mac’s “perky” attitude reminds her of his wolf-self.

#96.
Replying to Zil #93.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikae
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inziladun
Weird? Always. But if I was a wolf, this 'bluff' would obviously draw this exact scrutiny of me.
Really? Because it seems to me that it is far more likely to make you look innocent. Like I said, if not for your reaction, I would have moved you lower on my suspect list.

As a bluff, it doesn't really make that much sense. Why would the wolves feel the need to base their kill on protecting Inzil rather than hunting the seer? Sure, he came under fire, but day one suspicions are often short-lived. It would take a panicky wolf, a panicky pack, to do that, but that's just how Inzil is coming off - panicky.
Comment: This is true, but she really seems to want to have her cake and eat it here, doesn’t she?

#105.
Replying to Shasta at #104, in turn commenting on Greenie #50
"Come to think of it, she is kind of misrepresenting what I said there, since it was a double post and pretty obviously a continuation of the same thought.”

#110.
Reply to Greenie #106, #107.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikae
Quote:
Originally Posted by A Little Green
Incorrect. I said Inzil was being inconsistent (suspecting McCaber but voting for Mac), but that doesn't necessarily equal suspicious. If you have a suggestion as to what an evil Inzil would accomplish by that, please tell me.
A wolf might have wanted Cab lynched, but not to be in the wagon. He might have been wolf-on-wolfing. Could be lots of things. But what I wonder is: why would an innocent Greenie repeatedly bring up such inconsistencies without any intent to either cast, or to answer, suspicion?

As for my posts on Cab, I can't see how it would be unclear to any honest reader: I was surprised by Inzil & Legate's suspicion which seemed disproportionate, and then made a guess as to what they meant: something I had noticed but didn't consider particularly significant myself.

What would be the point of sneakily casting suspicion on someone who was, at that point, the most suspected anyway?
Comment: this second part ultimately refers to #50, where Greenie suggests Rikae is “subtly trying to raise doubts about Cab” (i.e. with her Day One question about whether he was supicious). As for Rikae's reply: well, there was nothing like a certainly that McCaber would be lynched (in fact, he wasn’t), and a wolf often does like to nudge the lynch the “right” way. Actually I don’t see much in her questions on Day One, but the “why” now seems a bit disingenuous.


Tally
Wilwa —> Greenie
Zil —> Nerwen
Mac —> Greenie (2)
Shasta —> Mac

#121. Vote-post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikae
I can't stay awake any longer, and I won't be up before DL, so I'll have to vote now.

For reasons previously given, plus the way he's been extra calm since I called him panicky. I know, that sounds terrible, but just look: I feel like he's tiptoeing around me, and I don't recall innocent!Inzil being one to tiptoe.

++Inziladun
Conclusion: I really don’t know. She is, as she says herself, rather fixated on Zil, much as Sally has been. Some of her interactions with him suggest the old “witch hunt” technique; yet, I do think he was genuinely jumpy. I don’t have time for a detailed look at Day 3 Rikae; however if she is a wolf she has either decided to bus her packmate Sally (good), or else climb on Zil’s vote on an innocent Sally (bad).

EDIT: X’d with Shasta.
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Last edited by Nerwen; 10-15-2014 at 04:18 AM.
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