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Old 05-08-2020, 04:22 PM   #616
Thinlómien
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Hindsightful commentary on yesterDay's voting

Lommy -> Macalaure
Kath -> Inzil
Lhuna -> Lommy

There we go for starters. I don't find anything particularly comment-worthy about these votes in the light of how things developed, but I think Lhuna's parting shot "Friendly reminder, a bandwagon does not start with the first vote. " is still rather ominous. Care to elaborate what you were referring to, Lhuna?


Macalaure -> Lommy 2
QT -> Brinniel

Mac is consistent with his earlier suspicions, QT we can disregard.


Greenie -> Macalaure 2

Now this is interesting. The vote isn't very incriminating if you look at the tally, but if you consider that Legate had started suggesting Huine-lynch before Greenie voted and at least three people had commented on the suggestion with varying degrees of enthusiasm - while Greenie? Didn't say a word about Hui but kept talking about whether she would prefer Mac or Brinn. Now voting Mac was certainly consistent with her earlier suspicions, but as she's said herself, consistency isn't necessarily a sign of innocence. Of course her reasons might have been entirely innocent, but it does stand out to me that she deliberately chooses not to participate in the "is lynching Hui a good idea" discussion that's going on around her.


Legate -> Huinesoron

So: Legate had suspected Hui before, but I wouldn't say they were his main suspect. He said he was considering voting them, Lottie or Brinn, while he was reluctant to take a stand on Lommy-vs-Mac. As you can see, Brinn had one vote at this point and had been under heavy suspicion, and while Lottie had no votes, several people had mentioned her as suspicious too. Huinesoron, by comparison, seemed to be under most people's radar. I can't for the life of me fathom why legatewolf would have dragged his fellow Huine to the execution block like this when they were flying under so many people's radars, (not even if their comrades happened to be Lottie, Brinn and Mac). Especially since he literally said he doesn't want to vote Huine if nobody will join him.


Huinesoron -> Macalaure 3

I don't think this says much. Hui pretty much declared they will vote Mac before, and even if he was their fellow wolf, he was pretty resigned to getting lynched and they might have been prioritising self-preservation as suspicion was gathering around them at this point.


Rune -> Loslote
Kitanna -> Huinesoron 2
THE Ka -> Loslote 2

Now we can safely disregard Kit (sorry angel!), but Rune and THE Ka certainly stand out. When Rune voted, Huin still had only one vote, and the scene had not yet been set. Rune adding yet more candidate on the table (especially since "whether or not to spread the vote" was a minor discussion topic), is not particularly telling either way. Perhaps an uber-protective packmate would have rather voted Mac in case people would actually join Legate in a hueywagon, but I don't think Rune is that type of wolf.

THE Ka? Like Greenie, gives the vibe that she just wants to ignore the Huinescussion and perhaps silence it that way. She could have voted Lottie in hopes of creating a yet another bandwagon that might gain momentum instead of the huinewagon.


Pitchwife -> Huinesoron 3

Now this vote is the one that made Huine a serious lynch candidate. Paired with the impulsive sounding comment "You know what, let's.", it would be pretty brazen wolf-on-wolf, and frankly if Pitch is that bold as a wolf, he probably deserved not to get suspected toDay anyway.


Loslote -> Huinesoron 4

Basically voted Huine because she was considering it and Legate told her to. This btw would make wolf!Legate an absolutely brutal backstabber. If Lottie was aiming for mere self-preservation, she could have just as well gone for Mac, which I personally think Wolflote would have been more likely to do even if Mac is a wolf too.


Sally -> Macalaure 4

Another one who steered clear of the Huine issue, wondered aloud if she should vote Mac or Lottie. Went for Mac who had more votes of the two at the time when Huine was rapidly gaining more votes. Extremely dubious vote - especially if we take into account that at least to me at this point Huine didn't seem like a "lost case" at all.


Inzil -> Macalaure 5

"Because I distrust Lottie, and to a lesser extent, Pitch." Huh? Basically implied without straight up saying so that he would prefer not to lynch Huinesoron. The placement of this vote is pretty dodgy, but Inzil's last minute "Watch Huey be a wolf. " (after the lynch was resolved but the deadline had not come yet) has a very innocent ring to me.


Lalaith -> Huinesoron 5
Brinn -> Huinesoron 6

These two cross-posted with each other. Lalaith had been avoiding the Huine debacle too, but said she trusts Kit, so went with them. Brinn said "let's see what happens..." Now at this point, Huine was quite possible toast already, so these votes don't strike me as as innocent as the earlier Huine votes. This was the moment when a fellow might have voted for Huine to look better, if at any point. Especially Lalaith's pious "I'm following Kit" makes me raise eyebrows a little. But to clarify: I don't think these votes are suspicious, just the least overwhelmingly innocent in the huinewagon which looks very innocent to me overall.


Boro -> Mac 6

Claims to have crossposted, I'm not sure with quite how many votes. Still, clearly a vote that was - intentionally or unintentionally - towards saving Huinesoron. Therefore, deserves scrutiny.


Eönwë -> Huinesoron 7

This one sealed the deal. As far as I understand, he was up to date and aware that he was condemning Huine. Pretty bold, when he could have as well sat back and seen what Shasta would do. Or voted Mac to save Huine. Generally a very innocent-seeming vote, but I'd like him to elaborate what he meant by the "it's going to have to be" here: "Ok, with the vote count looking as it is, it looks like it's going to have to be: ++Huinesoron"


Shasta -> Mac 7

A pointless vote, and he knew it. I don't think we can judge this much as it is, but I want to add that Shasta, too, largely refrained on commenting Hui. I wonder if he's a wolf and sat around looking at the situation develop, wondering if he should save Hui but deciding not to stick his neck out that far after all. His vote, too, was very safe.


edit: predictably xed with everyone
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