So this is how things stand at this point, as my limited understanding allows.
We have Shelob, 2 spiderlings, and 1 been-stung with 6 living players. So we're tied at 3.
Scenario 1: We lynch Shelob.
Yay.
Odds: 1/6
Scenario 2: We lynch a spiderling.
Day ends with Shelob and 2 spiderlings against 2 innocents. Bad.
Odds: 1/3
Scenario 3: We lynch the been-stung.
See scenario 2.
Odds: 1/6
Scenario 4: We lynch an innocent.
Duh.
Odds: 1/3
So our ONLY choice of winning is by lynching Shelob toDay. Wow.
