If we want to find out, if ME really and 'pysically' existed where our world is today, we should think about how much we can surley get know about the past of our world by hystorical writing and archiology and so on. (I think we can be quite sure about what has happen in the last 2000-3000 years, but Iīm not a hystorically expert, so anyone might disagree...)
I donīt really believe the stories in ME are taking place at the earth, but the Red Book could be real and the basic for the story; so I think it could exist and Tolkien could have made a story out of it.
Things and powers like magic and persons like the Valar and the other thing that not 'fit' in our world today, are discribed for example in Greek myths.
But I donīt think Tolkien created MiddleEarth because he had hystorically proofs that this world existed in the past of our earth.
If you wonder if the stories are just in our minds or in some other way real, I would agree that they are... everything we can imagine can be real too.
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*...for we know the joy of life is the *peace* that love can bring*
So spoke the wizard in his mountain home.
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