Oh come on, if you want sheer, untainted logic, look at your own words:
Quote:
1) You are the seer, I am the werewolf, and you know I am guilty.
2) You are a werewolf trying to kill an innocent.
3) You are villager trying to kill a werewolf.
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By your own admission, I have a 2/3 chance of being right. That puts you at 1/3. In any other situation, who's more likely to be believed?
Oh, and phantom... Just so you know, if you get me killed and it turns out I'm innocent, which I am, I hope you die next.