TOL-IN-GAURHOTH XII, Erbar Telamarth

[mormegil]

Songs shall be sung for many years of the heroism and foresight of Eomer the Valiant. While a recreant mercenary he served our village well and I am glad he chose so wisely. It seems that he and I had similar suspicions.

This is a critical break for us and our voting yesterday should help being that 3 of us voted for Cailin, it would seem to clear LMP, Firefoot and myself; though not 100% I think the three of us can be trusted. Yesterday's voting also, I think, cast some strong suspicion on the following

Encai gave the second vote to Anguirel to make it 3 for Cailin and 2 for Ang

Mister Underhill tied the vote between Anguirel and Cailin

Feanor cast her vote for Boromir88 making it a three way tie and if left a three way tie both Boromir and Anguirel would die, at least one is innocent and most likely Boromir is innocent too.

Lhuna Broke the tie and essentially put the nail in Anguirel's coffin. Now this was a wise move on her part either as an innocent or a wolf. Innocents don't want double lynching this early and wolves want to look like the prevented it.

So what does this all mean? I think Feanor and Mister Underhill are most suspect in this whole affair. Feanor caused a three way tie and Underhill tied the vote hoping to save Cailin.

What do others think?

[mormegil]

I made a mistake in my analysis that changes things a bit.

I thought that the first person voted for, in the event of a tie so it would have been Boro and then the last person which would have been Boro but the next was Ang. The way it actually is would have Boro and Cailin go if the three way tie remained. I'm sorry for this and I think it cast a bit less suspicion on Fea.

I just thought of something that is not likely but I always come up with crazy ideas so here it goes:

There is a chance that Firefoot or LMP are trying to pull off a double bluff and knew or hoped, at least that the final wolf would not vote until the end thus breaking the possibility of Cailin. While I write this it makes less sense than it did at the beginning so I would think now that this is not probable.

So my new analysis cast a lot more suspicion on Lhuna and does not clear up Boro's name one bit. Mister Underhill is still highly suspicious however.

[Estelyn Telcontar]

Alas, poor Anguirel, we did him a grave injustice! His death should be mourned, for he was a valiant and chivalrous knight. Why, he came to my defense when Boromir insulted me - he treated me, a lowly seamstress, like a princess! I wept much late last evening and then decided to pay him tribute in the only way I know how. It cost me some loss of sleep, but here is a rose I embroidered to lay on his grave.

I would like to clear up one misunderstanding that was expressed by several of you concerning me - my vote for Shelob was not on account of her silence. Please do not connect me and my choices with the decisions others make. Mine was a truly random choice and actually made by using a children's rhyme.

And now another valiant man has died, Eomer. This grievous loss is perhaps alleviated somewhat by his bravery in killing one of the wolves. His death may save some of our lives, indeed I fervently hope so! Yet mourn him we must, though we have not much time to do so. The urgency of our situation demands all of our wit and determination, lest we all suffer his fate.

My first thought yesterday was that at least one or two wolves must have been involved in the decision about Anguirel's death. It is plain to see that they would not all expose themselves through obvious unity, and now we see that Cailín, whose vote for Eomer unfortunately gives us no helpful clues for future debating, was herself a werewolf.

Was it a wolf who first suspected and voted for him? Shelob cast the first vote. Yet since it was the first day, the possibility that she chose as randomly as I did is great. The other three who voted for Ang are: Encaitare, Mister Underhill, and Lhunardawen. My suspicion is that at least one of them is a werewolf. I eagerly look forward to discussing the events and our possibilities with the rest of you today. Perhaps together we shall find counsel.

[littlemanpoet]

Originally Posted by mormegil

This is a critical break for us and our voting yesterday should help being that 3 of us voted for Cailin, it would seem to clear LMP, Firefoot & myself; though not 100% I think the three of us can be trusted.

Encai gave the second vote to Anguirel to make it 3 for Cailin and 2 for Ang

Mister Underhill tied the vote between Anguirel and Cailin

Feanor cast her vote for Boromir88 making it a three way tie and if left a three way tie both Boromir and Anguirel would die, at least one is innocent and most likely Boromir is innocent too.

Lhuna Broke the tie and essentially put the nail in Anguirel's coffin. Now this was a wise move on her part either as an innocent or a wolf. Innocents don't want double lynching this early and wolves want to look like the prevented it.

So what does this all mean? I think Feanor and Mister Underhill are most suspect in this whole affair. Feanor caused a three way tie and Underhill tied the vote hoping to save Cailin.

What do others think?

Thanks for your relative confidence in me, Morm; it was your consistency in both suspecting and voting for Cailin, that led to my cautious confidence in you, since I also found something in Cailin's post that was unsettling. Thus my vote; in fact, I was waiting to see which of the 41-51 posters you would vote for, and was pleased to see it was Cailin.

I do find the persons you listed above to be the most suspect, even Feanor, though you realized her error in judgement, confusing Anguirel & Cailin. Nevertheless, though it may be that pain and difficulty breathing may have hampered her judgment, Feanor is clever enough to use such spurious reasoning to look innocent when she is in fact an evil minion of Sauron, if that is the case; so I wouldn't write her off your watch list just yet.