Tol-in-Gaurhoth XVII: The Saga Continues to Continue quite Continuously

[The Saucepan Man]

Well, that's no surprise. It has been painfully obvious for a while now that morm is the Cobbler. Shame that you unwittingly managed to get TGWBS killed (as it was his determined pursuit of you that led malka to dream of him).

And your vote is no surprise either. I suspected that it might come to this.

It would be funny if Kath was the Wolf and you have just condemned her. You think that she wouldn't leave instructions, or somehow get access to the village, if she was, though she be in the icy north?

Somehow, however, I suspect that she is not.

So, unless she turns up in the nick of time and votes for Garin, victory depends upon you, my fellow innocents. For the Wolf will surely take the accursed Cobbler's advice and put me out of my misery tonight.

Thoughts on how you might play it tomorrow coming up in a mo ...

[The Saucepan Man]

OK, my fellow innocents. Victory is still within our grasp. Mormegil has been rash in his eagerness to reveal his wicked plotting.

Assuming that Kath does not arrive, there will be no double lynching today and she will die. She probably isn't the Wolf.

I will be cruelly ripped apart tonight.

So, tomorrow, that leaves:

Hunter: Glirdan
Innocents: Formendacil, Nilp
Cobbler: Mormegil
Either Wolf or innocent: Gil-Galad, dancing spawn and Garin

A double lynching is probably out of the question. It would be too easy for the Wolf and the Cobbler to turn it to their benefit. And you cannot guarantee to find the Wolf.

My recommendation, therefore, is that you take a risk and lynch Garin. A risk, yes. But a calculated one. Garin, a self-confessed gambler, will appreciate that.

I am almost certain that Gil is not the Wolf. If he is, then he deserves to win, either for his cunning masquerade or for his simple, blind luck.

Spawn might still be the Wolf. If she is, she is mighty clever. For she has concealed it remarkably well. So well, in fact that she deserves an Oscar.

But I am pretty much convinced that Garin is the Wolf. It was pretty likely Kath would not be here today and that the Cobbler would hold his vote. In those circumstances, an innocent Garin would have voted for spawn, thus ensuring the continued likelihood of a double lynching. His vote for Kath was the best possible vote for a Wolf. In my view, it condemns him.

The more that I think about it, the clearer it is. Kill him tomorrow. Please.

And finally, a token gesture (or, perhaps, a chance of victory today if Kath does arrive).

++GARIN

[The Saucepan Man]

In the unlikely event that Garin is not the Wolf, you still have one more day after tomorrow, and a 50:50 chance, of nailing the fiend (provided that there is no double lynching tomorrow).

But I tend to think that will not be necessary.

[Garin]

I actually thought Formendacil was the cobbler, though I guess Morm wanting to vote for a known innocent was bad. I didn't think he would seriously go along with it.
Thanks for your participation Sauce, I know the wolves usually don't let you live this long.
See you other villagers on the other side and I'll try to assuage your concerns.

[The Saucepan Man]

Originally Posted by Garin

Thanks for your participation Sauce, I know the wolves usually don't let you live this long.

Yes, I was wondering why you did.

Originally Posted by Garin

See you other villagers on the other side and I'll try to assuage your concerns.

I sincerely hope that your efforts will be in vain, foul beast of Udun.

[Meneltarmacil]

Villagers, please cease posting. A death scene will be posted in a moment.

[Meneltarmacil]

The villagers hauled Kath off to the gallows.

"We've caught a wolf; may we lynch her?" asked Nilpaurion Felagund.

"Lynch her! Lynch her!" the villagers shouted.

"How do you know she's a wolf?" The Saucepan Man inquired of them.

"She looks like one!" mormegil responded.

Their conversation continued for quite a while until the villagers had grown impatient. They cut The Saucepan Man off just as he was saying "And what do you lynch apart from wolves?" and put the noose around Kath's neck.

"I'm warning you," the paranormal investigator said, "If you kill me here, I'll come back from the grave and haunt you all."

The warning had no effect. The villagers lynched her anyway, killing another Ordinary Villager.

Living:
mormegil- Elven smith
Garin- Truffle hunter with a half a dozen pigs and no social manners
Nilpaurion Felagund- Escaped thrall from Tol-in-Gaurhoth
dancing spawn of ungoliant- Florist
The Saucepan Man- Earnest and learned young man of the law
Gil-Galad- Shape-Analyst
Glirdan- Crazy guy down the street
Formendacil- Village historian

Dead:
Meneltarmacil (Moderator): Speared by wolves on Night 1
AbercrombieOfRohan (Ordinary Villager): Treed and crushed by villagers on Day 1
Aiwendil (Ordinary Villager): Crushed by a tree chopped down by the werewolves onto his house on Night 2
Shelob (Ordinary Villager): Hung by villagers on Day 2
Valier (Ordinary Villager): Coconutted by wolves on Night 3
WaynetheGoblin (Ordinary Villager): Hung on a +9 Rope of Lynching by villagers on Day 3
Cailín (Ranger): Drowned by wolves on Night 4
Naria (Werewolf): Fought to death by villagers and pigs on Day 4
Márcolië Lamen (Ordinary Villager): Cooked into spaghetti and eaten by wolves on Night 5
the guy who be short (Werewolf): Became the wolf who be lynched by villagers on Day 5
malkatoj (Seer): Blown up by wolf on Night 6
Kath (Ordinary Villager): Almost Monty Pythoned, but impatiently hung by villagers on Day 6

Wolves: 1
Villagers: 7

It is now Night 7. Names are needed from the Wolf and Hunter.

[Meneltarmacil]

When the villagers assembled in the town square, they noticed that Formendacil was not among them.

As they entered his house, they noticed that all the bookshelves in his study had been knocked over. Formendacil lay dead on the floor, crushed under several tons of Numenorean history chronicles, translations of ancient Elvish texts, and other such things.

Formendacil's desk had a single sheet of parchment on it, on which he had written part of a volume titled "Tol-in-Gaurhoth: The True story of Sauron's Isle." The dull, boring descriptions of discrepencies between the Doriath documents and the traditional Numenorean version had stopped abruptly in mid-page and someone else had written:

"Unfortunately, the historian studying these events was mauled by a werewolf at the moment he was writing this. However, he was a little too stringy for the wolf's tastes."

Another Ordinary Villager had been taken by the wolf.

Living:
mormegil- Elven smith
Garin- Truffle hunter with a half a dozen pigs and no social manners
Nilpaurion Felagund- Escaped thrall from Tol-in-Gaurhoth
dancing spawn of ungoliant- Florist
The Saucepan Man- Earnest and learned young man of the law
Gil-Galad- Shape-Analyst
Glirdan- Crazy guy down the street

Dead:
Meneltarmacil (Moderator): Speared by wolves on Night 1
AbercrombieOfRohan (Ordinary Villager): Treed and crushed by villagers on Day 1
Aiwendil (Ordinary Villager): Crushed by a tree chopped down by the werewolves onto his house on Night 2
Shelob (Ordinary Villager): Hung by villagers on Day 2
Valier (Ordinary Villager): Coconutted by wolves on Night 3
WaynetheGoblin (Ordinary Villager): Hung on a +9 Rope of Lynching by villagers on Day 3
Cailín (Ranger): Drowned by wolves on Night 4
Naria (Werewolf): Fought to death by villagers and pigs on Day 4
Márcolië Lamen (Ordinary Villager): Cooked into spaghetti and eaten by wolves on Night 5
the guy who be short (Werewolf): Became the wolf who be lynched by villagers on Day 5
malkatoj (Seer): Blown up by wolf on Night 6
Kath (Ordinary Villager): Almost Monty Pythoned, but impatiently hung by villagers on Day 6
Formendacil (Ordinary Villager): Crushed by falling books due to wolf on Night 7

Wolves: 1
Villagers: 6

It is now Day 7. Villagers may post.

[The Saucepan Man]

Well, there's a shocker and no mistake. I really did not expect to be here today.

Then again ...

Originally Posted by Garin

Thanks for your participation Sauce, I know the wolves usually don't let you live this long.
See you other villagers on the other side and I'll try to assuage your concerns.

How convenient that Garin "assumed" that I would be killed, yet here I am still.

He will, no doubt, attempt to argue that, if he was the Wolf, then he obviously would have killed me, given that I am so convinced of his guilt. I'm not going to buy that, Garin, so don't even bother.

I stand by this:

Originally Posted by The Saucepan Man

I am almost certain that Gil is not the Wolf. If he is, then he deserves to win, either for his cunning masquerade or for his simple, blind luck.

Spawn might still be the Wolf. If she is, she is mighty clever. For she has concealed it remarkably well. So well, in fact that she deserves an Oscar.

But I am pretty much convinced that Garin is the Wolf. It was pretty likely Kath would not be here today and that the Cobbler would hold his vote. In those circumstances, an innocent Garin would have voted for spawn, thus ensuring the continued likelihood of a double lynching. His vote for Kath was the best possible vote for a Wolf. In my view, it condemns him.

It is clear in my mind what we must do today. Ignore the tiresome Cobbler morm ( ) and hang the odious lupine Garin from the highest tree in the village.