Tol-in-Gaurhoth XVII: The Saga Continues to Continue quite Continuously

[The Saucepan Man]

OK, my fellow innocents. Victory is still within our grasp. Mormegil has been rash in his eagerness to reveal his wicked plotting.

Assuming that Kath does not arrive, there will be no double lynching today and she will die. She probably isn't the Wolf.

I will be cruelly ripped apart tonight.

So, tomorrow, that leaves:

Hunter: Glirdan
Innocents: Formendacil, Nilp
Cobbler: Mormegil
Either Wolf or innocent: Gil-Galad, dancing spawn and Garin

A double lynching is probably out of the question. It would be too easy for the Wolf and the Cobbler to turn it to their benefit. And you cannot guarantee to find the Wolf.

My recommendation, therefore, is that you take a risk and lynch Garin. A risk, yes. But a calculated one. Garin, a self-confessed gambler, will appreciate that.

I am almost certain that Gil is not the Wolf. If he is, then he deserves to win, either for his cunning masquerade or for his simple, blind luck.

Spawn might still be the Wolf. If she is, she is mighty clever. For she has concealed it remarkably well. So well, in fact that she deserves an Oscar.

But I am pretty much convinced that Garin is the Wolf. It was pretty likely Kath would not be here today and that the Cobbler would hold his vote. In those circumstances, an innocent Garin would have voted for spawn, thus ensuring the continued likelihood of a double lynching. His vote for Kath was the best possible vote for a Wolf. In my view, it condemns him.

The more that I think about it, the clearer it is. Kill him tomorrow. Please.

And finally, a token gesture (or, perhaps, a chance of victory today if Kath does arrive).

++GARIN