WWJ IX: Psychotic Penguins: The Crossing of Helcaraxë

[Lalaith]

I just had a thought, about how penguins might vote, with regard to the new rules about the Logical Hunter.

If the hunter is lynched, her pick will go with her if s/he has voted for the hunter on that particular Day.

So, with this in mind, a penguin might be reluctant to be on the "winning team" when it comes to lynch-voting, as an innocent lynch victim might be the hunter.

So rather than bandwaggoning an innocent for lynching, a penguin might prefer to vote for one of his own, particularly if they don't appear to be at risk of lynching, or to vote for an innocent who *isn't* going to be lynched.

Now, Boro of course voted for me, an innocent who looked in real danger of being lynched. Maybe he realised that I was probably the Seer rather than the Hunter. Maybe he was telling the truth when he said he didn't pay enough attention to rules.
But it's worth bearing in mind.

[Diamond18]

Originally Posted by Lalaith

I think Boro's wolvish behaviour would depend on who his team-mates were. The plan, when we were all wolves together that time, was that phantom would do his usual thing, and I would lie low. This seemed to work, so he never had to attack either of us, although I remember him saying he would certainly have no compunction in rounding on one of us if necessary. He would also I think quite understand if, say, a Roa-style wolf decided to attack him.

Yes, after reading tp's WWX summary (PMs, mainly) it's seems you were quite the well oiled machine. But, seeing as things worked out so well for him in that game, Boro might be inclined to suggest a similar strategy to his wolves. A sort of if it ain't broke don't fix it mentality. On another flip side, knowing that both you and tp were innocents in this game might make him wary of behaving in a manner the two of you would instantly pick up on.

Yet, all possibilities to the contrary aside, I find it intereseting that the people Boro's historical habits shed a bit of suspicion on have also made suspicious votes in their own right, this game.

I think today I may almost certainly vote for one of the following:

Valier
Jenny
Spawn
Eonwe

Seeing as Spawn is gone for RL reasons, I hesitate a bit to condemn her, but then, I haven't done any sort of analysis on hers posts. Eonwe as a non-voter is a mite suspect, seeing as he could have conveinently maintained his low profile instead of making a stand on the endangered Seer/Ranger issue. My gut feeling on Jenny was to not be suspicious, but I've thought "Oh no, she can't possibly be evil again," before, and been wrong, so I'll have to try and be more analytical about her, methinks.

At any rate, should time permit, I'd like to do at least some mini-analysis on those four people. I've got 3 hours, I'll see what I can do with it.

Oh, and note, that list is taken from people Boro thought innocent, but I have left out Mac, because I'm sufficiently confident in his innocence for toDay and don't feel like analyzing him.

As to Ang and his... er, philippic... against me (does this have something to do with horses or tp? ) he seems rather genuine and that coupled with Boro's stated suspicion of him makes me feel him innocent. However, I do have bad memories of laughing at a certain Scotsman's description of me in a past game and thinking it made him seem less suspicious not more, and he turned out to be a wolf, so maybe I should overcompensate in a paranoid way and suspect Ang anyway. Yeah, try and follow that logic, I dares ya.