Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXIII: Journey to Hy Brazil

[Firefoot]

Sauce on Durelin:

Day 1 -

Durelin -- Shifty ninja-type. Can't understand a word she says. Lynch her, I say!

She's fourth on his lynch list.

Day 2 -

I am also wary of Diamond, Durelin and morm.

This after going into fair detail about Nilp voters... never once mentioning her. This could explain his repeated suspicions that either Holby or I was a wolf - let's just draw attention to these other Nilp voters...

Day 3 -

Durelin: Has acted completely how I would expect her to act (with the exception of a vote for me ; ) ). Can’t see anything suspicious about her.

Inclined to trust (for now): Glirdan, Durelin, Rune, mormegil, TGWBS, Findesea

Day 4 -

Durelin: I am pretty sure that she is innocent, of Wolvishness at least. She has been behaving erratically, which is precisely how I would expect an innocent Durelin to behave. I don’t think that her “eccentricity” would come across as quite so genuine if she were a Wolf trying to follow her usual pattern of behaviour.

Day 5 -

The other Rune voters who remain unknowns were Anguirel, Durelin, Firefoot and Gurthang.

But it's mine and Gurthang's that are most suspicious...

Durelin had been suspecting Rune from Day 3 (and voted for him on Day 3 too). So, unless there was a long term plan to sacrifice him (ie going back further than Night 4), she was being consistent. I also remain generally comfortable about Durelin for other the other reasons I have previously mentioned, so I am not too concerned about her vote.

Sauce:
The other two Holby-voters, Durelin and myself remain unknowns. It is, however, a well known fact that Wolves spread their votes, so it follows that the two of us are innocent. OK, perhaps not, but it does reinforce my warm, fuzzy feeling for Durelin (although I should perhaps make clear that love is not involved ).

Durelin:
Awww...and you had my hopes up...

!!!

Tend to think innocent: Lalaith, TGWBS and Durelin
...
Innocent Lover: Lalaith? Durelin? Taliesin?

I think that may have strengthened the case rather than broken it down. Sauce starts with suspicion on her, which slowly weakens until she is "probably innocent", and has even gone so far as joking with her about being the Lover.

I'll be away for a while now, but back in plenty of time to do more discussing...

[Lalaith]

Some really good analyses here.
Caran, your point about the Rune/Glirdan connection is interesting. (And your analysis of me makes me sound a right schoolmarm - how depressing)
Saucie's stuff is very impressive and persuasive - would a wolf/guilty party go to so much trouble? I can't help thinking they wouldn't (which is why I also absolved Diamond, ironically enough, for her Saucie attack).
But on the other hand, with Saucie, you just never know.
Firefoot - I too had noted the Durelin/Saucie connection. It could be significant, or it could just be nothing. Actually of the two I feel more worried about Durelin.

However, my chief worry today remains Gurthang for reasons already stated, with Glirdan as runner-up, partly due to his own disingenuous behaviour and partly due to the point Caran made.