Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXVI - Úcenite Valto

[The Saucepan Man]

Originally Posted by littlemanpoet

Praytell what reasoning would you have?

I think that I have set out my current reasoning pretty exhaustively. It's not by any means conclusive, I admit, but, as I said, there's not exactly a lot to go on at the moment.

Originally Posted by littlemanpoet

As to "person Fea would likely pick as a Wolf", what player in this game does not fit that description?

I think that it is possible to identify those more likely than not to be selected. I have indicated my thoughts, but am open to discussion on the subject.

Originally Posted by littlemanpoet

My original vote for SPM was spleen in combination with his "if I were a werewolf" early post.

Don't you mean Ang?

Originally Posted by littlemanpoet

I am not playing cautiously.

Yesterday, I think you did.

Originally Posted by littlemanpoet

The odds are 2 in 13 that he is innocent; but if he is not, he is a most dangerous enemy.

Surely the odds, taken on pure chance alone, are now 9 in 11 that I am innocent, just the same as anyone else. Or am I missing something here? I would be dangerous (to innocents) as a Wolf, admittedly. But I am not.

Originally Posted by Fea

You'll find out who wins when there's one person left and I let you know what his or her role is.

Originally Posted by the phantom

That's insane. Does this idea drive anyone else nuts?

It would also suggest that, if two Wolves remain at the end, they will be fighting it out to see who wins. Which takes us back to my original understanding of two competing Wolves ...

[littlemanpoet]

Originally Posted by The Saucepan Man

Don't you mean Ang?

Oops. I did consider voting for you, but did not. I had forgotten. My bad.
[/QUOTE]

[littlemanpoet]

Originally Posted by The Saucepan Man

Surely the odds, taken on pure chance alone, are now 9 in 11 that I am innocent, just the same as anyone else. Or am I missing something here? I would be dangerous (to innocents) as a Wolf, admittedly. But I am not.

Uh, yeah. 9 in 11. Oops again.