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Old 02-28-2007, 09:36 AM   #1
Roa_Aoife
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*sigh* So you're content to ignore me. Perhaps you are in this with Rikae, I don't know, but someone please listen instead of just blindly accepting her word for this!

I'd do an analysis on Rikae, but I fear it would be useless.

If no one's willing to listen, I'm going to stop talking.
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Old 02-28-2007, 10:29 AM   #2
Nogrod
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife
I'd do an analysis on Rikae, but I fear it would be useless.

If no one's willing to listen, I'm going to stop talking.
Okay, I'm here and listening again...

Please Roa, you have worked just as a great cobbler would. I know this from some experiences (nasty and nice). It's clear that a Cobbler's game actually starts only at a later date, but there is one thing the cobbler must ensure and that is not to be dreamt of early in the game. With a player of your stature it's pretty probable to be dreamt of so you'd have to be extra helpful to gain the trust needed. And what have you done? Look at how people have reacted to the news: "I was going to praise you, but *sigh*". Great playing Roa! *bowsdown*

Okay it is possible. A Cobbler/Faithful Rikae, after really thinking she was going to be hanged decided to make a last desperate try for it. But that would be checked soon enough and with our numbers we should have no worries about it, yet.

And anyhow. The real Seer (whether she is Rikae or someone else) knows two names now and the ranger knows whether s/he protected Rikae last Night or not and thence who is right. So nothing to worry so long as they both stay low. The worst that we might have now would be the Faithfuls getting the identity of our gifteds.

EDIT: X'd from Roa onwards...
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Old 02-28-2007, 10:46 AM   #3
The Saucepan Man
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Apologies one and all for my silence toDay. My other life has been diabolically hectic, and I have had been able to do little other than skim read the thread since I was last here and gain some kind of bearing on where we are. And so much has happened in the interim!

So, my two major suspects turn out to be the Seer and a confirmed innocent, and one of my other suspects has been lynched and shown to be innocent. A pretty typical start for me.

Looks like I need a major rethink, and I’m not going to get much of a chance to do that toDay.

I must say that I am delighted that our Seer has been able to spot that confounded Tar-MiRoaiel before she sadly leaves us to join Lord Melkor. I don’t believe Roa’s protests for one moment (particularly as she was so quick herself to accept Rikae’s declaration when it came). Her mischaracterisation of my participation yesterDay was so breathtaking (to my mind, anyway) that I could not believe that there was no malice behind it. As I read through, I was coming round to the conclusion that she must be the Cobbler, since she has been behaving way to boldly for a Faithful, even by her standards. So thank you, Rikae, for saving me the bother of having to respond. And apologies for my vote yesterDay (although you did look mighty suspicious to me at the time – ah, the irony of Mith’s opening statement ).

One productive line of enquiry, it seems to me, will be to review Roa’s “handy dandy” analyses and see who she may have been trying to draw suspicion away from. For her instincts are good and she may have spotted a Faithful or two. It’s obviously not something to rely on, since she was no more knowledgable than the rest of us and could just as well have been wrong. After all, it seems pretty clear to me that she had Nogrod pegged as a Faithful, and she was clearly wrong there (as, indeed, was I). Still, it’s worth looking into. Unfortunately, I’m not sure that I will have much opportunity to do so toDay.

The more I see of Manwe, the more I am inclined to view him as innocent. His style does look strange sometimes, at first glance, but it seems to me that there is often good sense behind it. He looks to have been the only one really pressing Roa, at a time when she was in full flow and it was clearly needed. So, I still have an eye to those who were pushing him forward as a lynch candidate early yesterDay (although, then again, look where that idea got me with Rikae …).

Other than that, my brief review has left me with little to go on. The only thing that really stood out was how little some appear to have been saying in their posts. Other have noted this too, I believe. Hookbill in particular springs to mind here, but also Brinniel, Kitanna and Rune (whose capitulation to Roa’s analysis of him I found rather curious).

But I’m not sure that this is really enough to warrant a vote, particularly given the limited time that I have had available to review matters. I would rather vote for Roa (and, indeed, would take great delight in doing so ), than risk lynching an innocent.

Oh and Gil, I tend to post in bursts because I cannot spend all Day reviewing and posting. My other life tends to inhibit me from doing so. At least I offer up more than a couple of lines ...

I will be back to vote, but I am not sure that my further participation toDay will stretch beyond that. Sorry.
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