Werewolf Four and Thirty: Bloodbath in the Anduin Vale

[Mithalwen]

Only time for a skim through .... but I do find it amusing that Lommie suspects me for being non-committal while Nogrod suspects me for certainty.....

Yet to decide about Boromir's alignment......

Ponders.... *goes for lunch and analgeasics*

[Volo]

Hah, Boro, I knew that would be the case and am very happy that it is. You deffinitely looked like the last Gifted (Ranger or Assassin), but now that you turn out to be both. Now that is good. Because that means we have two kills toDay, doesn't it?

As scary as the "M" in McDonalds. Worth attention:
Mithalwen - My top suspect, though I've let my attention down for some time. So many things to take into account...
Mormegil - I'm sure that Rikae and Legate didn't die just because they'd leave little trails. Of all the people, I think Mormegil would be the most capable in doing the deeds.

Worth more attention:
Nogrod - He is on the tip of a knife. I do feel like he's Innocent, unless there are two Wolf teams, and he being on Menel's side. Possible, but I think we should try finding the other Wolf first and see if we win.

Pretty much Innocentish:
Aganzir - The eyes of an Eagle finding all those clues in the narrations. If she's a Wolf, she deserves victory.
The Sixth Wizard - Well, since Izzie was evil, I'm pretty happy thinking that Sixth is Innocent.
Thinlómien - Lommy has pretty much flown out of my radar's reach. Though I'm very happy to think that she's Innocent. So far things have looked in her favour.

The Beauty and the Beast:
Volo - Innocent (and I wouldn't say that were I Wolf, just droppes off the possibility of playing a Gifted).
Boromir88 - As stated in the first lines of this post, I trust him, completely.

The evil behind it all:
Gil-Galad - Forget him, he's not in the game. Although if he is using the flaw SPM's rules and is a Wolf who just sends one PM in a Night and does nothing else, kudos. But you don't deserve victory! Forget him. If he wins, we don't lose and could just swallow our pride and accept it.

[Volo]

In all the possibilities the survivors on Day5:

(Another name could be instead of Mith and/or Morm, but since I suspect them the most I put their names where they are.)

Dead:
Mithalwen - Lynched.
Mormegil - Killed by Boro.
Boromir88 - Killed by Wolf/Wolves.
+ X - If Mith turns out to be Innocent and the Wolves don't both target Boro, then one more person will be dead.

Alive:
Aganzir
Gil-Galad
Volo
Nogrod
The Sixth Wizard
Thinlómien
- X

1. In the worst case there are five of us left tomorrow. Two of which Wolves. The problem being Nogrod's and Lommy's absence (noted in Admin Thread). Still pretty good chances to win.*

*Ah, maybe no. If Gil is Innocent and doesn't vote. Then we're in trouble.

2. Second worst case would be that we catch only one Wolf and we still have only five survivors (i.e. Boro kills a Wolf but we lynch an Innocent). Much more probable to me than possibility 1.

3. We lynch a Wolf, Boro kills a Wolf, we win straight away.


And don't forget that I'm not putting a Wolf stamp on Mith and Morm yet!


EDIT: Xd with Morm.

[Aganzir]

Nogrod, could you please explain these comments from Day 2? They keep troubling me.

Originally Posted by Noggie

The familiar logic of all the baddies knowing each other vs. all the blind goodies doesn't work here. . . . So possibly not two sides but three.

To me it seems that you're saying "Hi, I'm a wolf, where's the other team? I know you're out there, we could co-operate."

Originally Posted by Volo

The Beauty and the Beast:
Volo - Innocent (and I wouldn't say that were I Wolf, just droppes off the possibility of playing a Gifted).
Boromir88 - As stated in the first lines of this post, I trust him, completely.

I didn't know there were lovers in this game.